Ecuador. Premier League
Universidad Catolica face Tecnico Universitario on August 1, 2026 in the Ecuador. Premier League.
Recent form (W-D-L): Universidad Catolica 3-1-1, Tecnico Universitario 1-0-4. Sportsbooks lean towards Universidad Catolica, an implied 63% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Universidad Catolica — 62%
Pure model vs market (1 · Universidad Catolica): model 51% · market 63% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Universidad Catolica 62.0%, draw 22.6%, win Tecnico Universitario 15.3%. Model favourite — Universidad Catolica.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Universidad Catolica.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.47 68.0% | 1.46 68.5% | 1.48 67.6% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | |
| X | 4.10 24.4% | 4.20 23.8% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.35 23.0% | 4.20 23.8% | 3.40 29.4% |
| 6.80 14.7% | 6.74 14.8% | 7.00 14.3% | 7.30 13.7% | 6.50 15.4% | 5.25 19.1% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.78 56.2% |
| yes | 1.93 51.8% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.18 84.8% | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 1.08 92.6% | 1.10 90.9% |
| x2 | 2.35 42.6% | 2.40 41.7% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 0_1 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_2 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 0_3 | 81.00 1.2% |
| 1_0 | 5.50 18.2% |
| 1_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 1_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 1_3 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 2_0 | 5.75 17.4% |
| 2_1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 2_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 2_3 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 3_0 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 3_1 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 3_2 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 3_3 | 61.00 1.6% |
| 4_0 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 4_1 | 17.00 5.9% |
Universidad Catolica
Guayakil Siti
Barselona Guayakil
Deportivo Kuenka
LDU Kito
Leones del Norte
Tecnico Universitario
Manta
Independente del Vale
Aukas
Libertad
Makara
Full head-to-head historyUniversidad Catolica - Tecnico Universitario
The Universidad Catolica - Tecnico Universitario breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
