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Ecuador. Premier League
Ecuador. Premier League
05.07.2026 19:30 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 19:30 UTC
Finished

Ecuador. Premier League

Universidad Catolica Quito - Mushuc Runa

Futbol
Universidad Catolica Quito
Universidad Catolica Quito
2 : 3
Finished
Mushuc Runa
Mushuc Runa
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Universidad Catolica Quito — 59%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Universidad Catolica Quito - Mushuc Runa 5 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Universidad Catolica Quito.

Line favourite market consensus: Universidad Catolica Quito. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.51 / X 4.05 / 2 5.22
  • 1X2 market: Universidad Catolica Quito 60.1% / X 22.5% / Mushuc Runa 17.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.1%
1 60.2%
X 22.4%
2 17.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 19:30 UTC
Match center

Universidad Catolica Quito - Mushuc Runa

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.06 Fonbet · line only
X 7.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.52 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.04 Fonbet · line only
1X 5.90 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.31 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.08 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.42 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
П1 1.54 64.9% 1.54 64.9% 1.55 64.5% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4%
Х 4.20 23.8% 4.26 23.5% 4.00 25.0% 4.15 24.1% 4.20 23.8% 3.60 27.8%
П2 5.40 18.5% 5.44 18.4% 5.25 19.1% 5.30 18.9% 5.50 18.2% 4.40 22.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.42 70.4% 1.97 50.8%
yes 2.65 37.7% 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.16 86.2% 1.23 81.3% 1.04 96.2%
1x 1.12 89.3% 1.15 87.0% 5.90 17.0%
x2 2.23 44.8% 2.25 44.4% 1.01 99.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
П1 2.01 49.8%
Х 2.40 41.7%
П2 5.40 18.5%
Match center
Universidad Catolica Quito
L
31.05 21:10 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Universidad Catolica Quito 0:1 EmelekEmelek
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points