Match center
Start
07.07.2026 22:00 UTC
07.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished
Ecuador. Premier League
Aukas - Guayaquil City
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Aukas - Guayaquil City 7 июля 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Aukas.
Line favourite market consensus: Aukas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.38 / X 4.26 / 2 8.00
- 1X2 market: Aukas 66.8% / X 21.7% / Guayaquil City 11.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.4%
1
66.8%
X
21.6%
2
11.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Liga ProLeague table
Aukas
WDWLW
Guayaquil City
LLDLL
Best price
across 13 books
1
1.42
Unibet
X
4.80
Betano
2
9.50
Betano
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Aukas
W-D-L 6-2-2
Scored 1.20
Conceded 0.80
xG 1.36
xGA 1.07
Corners 5.6
Guayaquil City
W-D-L 4-1-5
Scored 1.20
Conceded 1.50
xG 0.96
xGA 1.44
Corners 2.5
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Aukas
Rating 1568
xG 1.84
Win 64%
Guayaquil City
Rating 1480
xG 0.73
Win 14%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Aukas
2
:
1
Guayaquil City
11.37
X4.37
28.85
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Aukas - Guayaquil City
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
8.00
market consensus · line only
X
4.24
market consensus · line only
1
1.38
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.19
market consensus · line only
1X
1.05
market consensus · line only
X2
2.70
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 +1
2.10
market consensus · line only
1 -1
1.68
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.94
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.81
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.52
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.37
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.40 71.4% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.38 72.5% |
| Х | 4.30 23.3% | 4.35 23.0% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.70 21.3% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.40 22.7% |
| П2 | 8.10 12.4% | 8.45 11.8% | 8.50 11.8% | 8.50 11.8% | 8.00 12.5% | 8.00 12.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.52 65.8% |
| yes | 2.37 42.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.17 85.5% | 1.21 82.6% |
| 1x | 1.03 97.1% | 1.06 94.3% |
| x2 | 2.60 38.5% | 2.80 35.7% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.88 53.2% |
| Х | 2.20 45.5% |
| П2 | 8.80 11.4% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAukas - Guayaquil City
Aukas
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals