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Ecuador. Premier League
Ecuador. Premier League
14.07.2026 22:30 MSK Match prediction
14.07.2026 22:30 MSK
Finished

Ecuador. Premier League

Macara - Mushuk Runa

Futbol
Macara
Macara
2 : 1
Finished
Mushuk Runa
Mushuk Runa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Macara - Mushuk Runa 14 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Macara.

Line favourite market consensus: Macara. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.00 / X 3.18 / 2 3.51
  • 1X2 market: Macara 45.5% / X 28.6% / Mushuk Runa 25.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.9%
1 45.5%
X 28.6%
2 25.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga Pro
League table
Macara
#429 ptsGP 198-5-620:19
WWWDL
Mushuk Runa
#1321 ptsGP 195-6-824:29
LLWDD
Best price across 13 books
1 2.14 SBO
X 3.30 10Bet
2 3.79 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Macara
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 1.20 Conceded 1.29 xG 1.07 xGA 1.22 Corners 5.3
Mushuk Runa
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.40 Conceded 1.81 xG 1.14 xGA 1.31 Corners 4.0

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Macara
Rating 1555 xG 1.13 Win 37%
Mushuk Runa
Rating 1502 xG 1.05 Win 33%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Macara 1 : 1 Mushuk Runa
12.06
X3.22
23.70

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:7/7 ready

Google AI updated13.07.2026 22:49 MSK
1 46% ✓ favourite
X 31%
2 23%
Score1:0 Total goals: ТМ 2.5 BTTS:Нет Bet:1X и ТМ 3.5
Per AI data H2H: 1-3-1
DeepSeek updated13.07.2026 22:49 MSK
1 40% ✓ favourite
X 33%
2 27%
Score1:0 Total goals: ТМ 2.5 BTTS:Нет Bet:1X
ChatGPT updated13.07.2026 22:54 MSK
1 47% ✓ favourite
X 30%
2 23%
Score1:0 Total goals: ТМ 2.5 BTTS:Нет Bet:1X + ТМ 3.5
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Claude updated13.07.2026 22:57 MSK
1 45% ✓ favourite
X 30%
2 25%
Score1:0 Total goals: ТМ 2.5 BTTS:Нет Bet:Двойной шанс 1X (Макара не проиграет)
Qwen updated13.07.2026 22:53 MSK
1 38% ✓ favourite
X 32%
2 30%
Score1:1 Total goals: ТМ 2.5 BTTS:Нет Bet:1X и ТМ 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 2-7-4
Kimi updated13.07.2026 22:58 MSK
1 38% ✓ favourite
X 32%
2 30%
Score1:0 Total goals: ТМ 2.5 BTTS:Нет Bet:П1
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
GLM 5.2 updated13.07.2026 23:00 MSK
1 42% ✓ favourite
X 34%
2 24%
Score2:1 Total goals: ТБ 2.5 BTTS:Да Bet:Двойной шанс 1X (Победа Макары или Ничья)

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 46% 31% 23% 1:0 ТМ 2.5 Нет 1X и ТМ 3.5
DeepSeek 40% 33% 27% 1:0 ТМ 2.5 Нет 1X
ChatGPT 47% 30% 23% 1:0 ТМ 2.5 Нет 1X + ТМ 3.5
Claude 45% 30% 25% 1:0 ТМ 2.5 Нет Двойной шанс 1X (Макара не проиграет)
Qwen 38% 32% 30% 1:1 ТМ 2.5 Нет 1X и ТМ 2.5
Kimi 38% 32% 30% 1:0 ТМ 2.5 Нет П1
GLM 5.2 42% 34% 24% 2:1 ТБ 2.5 Да Двойной шанс 1X (Победа Макары или Ничья)

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Match center
Start 14.07.2026 22:30 MSK
Match center

Macara - Mushuk Runa

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.52 market consensus · line only
X 4.60 Fonbet · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.15 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.17 Fonbet · line only
X2 8.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.64 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.25 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.27 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
П1 2.00 50.0% 2.04 49.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.07 48.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.83 54.6%
Х 3.30 30.3% 3.28 30.5% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8% 2.88 34.7%
П2 3.70 27.0% 3.63 27.6% 3.30 30.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.25 30.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 3.25 30.8% 1.78 56.2%
yes 1.27 78.7% 1.93 51.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.15 87.0%
1x 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.17 85.5%
x2 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8% 8.00 12.5%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 8.00 12.5%
0_1 8.00 12.5%
0_2 15.00 6.7%
0_3 41.00 2.4%
0_4 101.00 1.0%
1_0 5.75 17.4%
1_1 5.50 18.2%
1_2 10.00 10.0%
1_3 26.00 3.9%
1_4 71.00 1.4%
2_0 7.50 13.3%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 13.00 7.7%
2_3 34.00 2.9%
2_4 91.00 1.1%
3_0 15.00 6.7%
3_1 13.00 7.7%
3_2 23.00 4.4%
Match center
Macara
W W D
11.07 01:15 МСК Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Macara 2:0 Tekniko Yu.Tekniko Yu.
05.07 19:00 МСК Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Macara 1:0 LDU KitoLDU Kito
01.06 23:00 МСК Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Macara 1:1 Leones del NorteLeones del Norte
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.3 Scored
0.3 Conceded
7 Points
Mushuk Runa
W
05.07 22:30 МСК Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Mushuk Runa 3:2 Universidad Katolika KitoUniversidad Katolika Kito
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMacara - Mushuk Runa

Macara
0 matches total
Mushuk Runa
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history