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Ecuador. Division 2
Ecuador. Division 2
02.07.2026 18:30 UTC Match prediction
02.07.2026 18:30 UTC
Finished

Ecuador. Division 2

Atletico FC - El Nasonal

Futbol
Atletico FC
Atletico FC
3 : 0
Finished
El Nasonal
El Nasonal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletico FC - El Nasonal July 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico FC.

Line favourite market consensus: Atletico FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.65 / X 3.47 / 2 4.55
  • 1X2 market: Atletico FC 54.3% / X 25.9% / El Nasonal 19.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.4%
1 54.4%
X 25.9%
2 19.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga Pro Serie B
League table
Atletico FC
#226 ptsGP 156-8-117:12
WWDLW
El Nasonal
#121 ptsGP 150-4-119:26
LDLLL
Best price across 10 books
1 1.53 Bet365
X 4.20 Dafabet
2 7.11 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Atletico FC
W-D-L 2-7-1 Scored 0.80 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.23 xGA 1.04
El Nasonal
W-D-L 0-3-7 Scored 0.60 Conceded 1.70 xG 1.01 xGA 1.61

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Atletico FC
Rating 1579
El Nasonal
Rating 1370

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 02.07.2026 18:30 UTC
Match center

Atletico FC - El Nasonal

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.83 market consensus · line only
X 3.55 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.03 Fonbet · line only
X2 2.50 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 +1 2.00 market consensus · line only
2 0 9.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.72 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano BetVictor Dafabet
1.62 61.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.57 63.7% 1.69 59.2%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.52 28.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.20 31.3% 3.65 27.4%
4.60 21.7% 4.84 20.7% 4.20 23.8% 4.35 23.0% 3.90 25.6% 4.70 21.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.20 83.3% 1.77 56.5%
yes 3.85 26.0% 1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.14 87.7% 1.19 84.0% 1.01 99.0%
1x 1.03 97.1% 1.07 93.5% 1.03 97.1%
x2 2.40 41.7% 2.60 38.5% 12.00 8.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.97 50.8%
X 2.19 45.7%
6.80 14.7%
Match center
Atletico FC
W L
09.06 18:30 UTC Ecuador: Seriya V Standings
Atletico FC 1:0 22 de Julio22 de Julio
31.05 17:30 UTC Ecuador: Seriya V Standings
Atletico FC 0:3 VinotintoVinotinto
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
El Nasonal
D L
10.06 22:00 UTC Ecuador: Seriya V Standings
El Nasonal 0:0 Dep. Santo Domingo
31.05 14:00 UTC Ecuador: Seriya V Standings
El Nasonal 0:1 LDU PortovekhoLDU Portovekho
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtletico FC - El Nasonal

Atletico FC
0 matches total
El Nasonal
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history