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28.07.2026 18:30 UTC
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28.07.2026 18:30 UTC
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Ecuador: Seriya V Standings
Atletico FC - LDU Portoviejo
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🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 LDU Portoviejo — 56%
Pure model vs market (2 · LDU Portoviejo): model 27% · market 48% Δ −21 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Atletico FC 25.1%, draw 19.2%, win LDU Portoviejo 55.7%. Model favourite — LDU Portoviejo.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2LDU Portoviejo (odds1.90)
Score 0:1
confidence 50%
- • Model backs LDU Portovekho: probability 50% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.90)
- • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Atletico FC - LDU Portoviejo July 28, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: LDU Portoviejo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.50 / X 4.90 / 2 1.82
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 15.4%
1
34.7%
X
17.7%
2
47.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Atletico FC - LDU Portoviejo
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Atletico FC
34.7%
25.1%
Draw
17.7%
19.2%
draw risk
LDU Portoviejo
47.6%
55.7%
market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
25.1% / 19.2% / 55.7%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,612 / 1,469
Atletico FC / LDU Portoviejo
RD
166 / 160
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,280-1,944 / 1,148-1,790
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.82
market consensus · no value · model 55.7%
X
4.90
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
2.50
market consensus · no value · model 25.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.77
market consensus · line only
1 +0.5
1.71
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.71 58.5% | |
| 1.77 56.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 4.5 | 1.59 62.9% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.91 52.4% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.50 40.0% | |
| X | 4.90 20.4% |
| 1.82 55.0% |
Match center
Atletico FC
D
W
D
W
W
Atletico FC
0:0
Cuenca Juniors
Atletico FC
2:1
San Antonio
San Antonio
Atletico FC
0:0
Independent Khuniors
Atletico FC
3:0
El Nasonal
El Nasonal
Atletico FC
1:0
22 de Julio
22 de Julio
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
1.2
Scored
0.2
Conceded
11
Points
LDU Portoviejo
W
L
L
D
L
LDU Portoviejo
1:0
Dep. Santo Domingo
LDU Portoviejo
0:1
Independent Khuniors
LDU Portoviejo
0:1
Cuenca Juniors
LDU Portoviejo
1:1
9 Oktyabrya
9 Oktyabrya
LDU Portoviejo
2:4
San Antonio
San Antonio
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
0.8
Scored
1.4
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAtletico FC - LDU Portoviejo
Atletico FC
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Atletico FC - LDU Portoviejo breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form