Ecuador. Division 2
Ecuador. Division 2
03.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Ecuador. Division 2

Cuenca Juniors - San Antonio

Futbol
C
Cuenca Juniors
1 : 0
Finished
San Antonio
San Antonio
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

💎 «Value»

1Cuenca Juniors — odds 4.02 · edge +10.1% · 3 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cuenca Juniors - San Antonio July 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Cuenca Juniors. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.06 / X 6.70 / 2 3.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 39.6%
1 67.6%
X 10.7%
2 21.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga Pro Serie B
League table
Cuenca Juniors
#423 ptsGP 156-5-417:18
WLWDW
San Antonio
#619 ptsGP 154-7-418:15
LWDLW
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Cuenca Juniors
W-D-L 2-4-4 Scored 1.11 Conceded 1.61 xG 1.33 xGA 1.04
San Antonio
W-D-L 3-5-2 Scored 1.30 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.28 xGA 1.07

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Cuenca Juniors
Rating 1483
San Antonio
Rating 1508

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Cuenca Juniors - San Antonio

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.63 market consensus · line only
X 6.70 Fonbet · line only
1 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.07 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 6.70 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.28 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.28 78.1% 4.19 23.9%
yes 3.25 30.8% 1.18 84.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.07 93.5%
1x 1.24 80.7% 1.29 77.5% 1.01 99.0%
x2 1.52 65.8% 1.58 63.3% 6.70 14.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 2.5 2.12 47.2%
Under 2.5 1.59 62.9%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.03 97.1%
8.50 11.8%
12.00 8.3%
1.54 64.9% 1.54 64.9% 1.02 98.0%
8.50 11.8%
1.03 97.1%
1.01 99.0%
2.25 44.4% 2.32 43.1% 10.00 10.0%