football.main.1x2: p1
Value William Hill HOME @ 2.05 (EV +6%, Pinnacle fair 52%)
Ecuador: Seriya V Standings
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Dep. Santo Domingo.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Fonbet · historical ROI
Value William Hill HOME @ 2.05 (EV +6%, Pinnacle fair 52%)
Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | BetVictor | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.77 56.5% | |
| X | 3.25 30.8% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.85 26.0% |
| 3.70 27.0% | 3.76 26.6% | 4.10 24.4% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.90 25.6% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.01 99.0% |
| yes | 11.00 9.1% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 2.30 43.5% |
| 1x | 1.09 91.7% |
| x2 | 9.00 11.1% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 4.30 23.3% | |
| 12.00 8.3% | |
| 8.50 11.8% | |
| 1.37 73.0% | |
| 12.00 8.3% | |
| 1.16 86.2% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.03 97.1% | |
| 2.85 35.1% |
Full head-to-head historyDep. Santo Domingo - 22 de Julio
The Dep. Santo Domingo - 22 de Julio breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.