Ecuador. Division 2
Ecuador. Division 2
02.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

Ecuador. Division 2

Dep. Santo Domingo - Independent Khuniors

Futbol
D
Dep. Santo Domingo
1 : 0
Finished
I
Independent Khuniors

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dep. Santo Domingo - Independent Khuniors July 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Dep. Santo Domingo.

Line favourite market consensus: Dep. Santo Domingo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.47 / X 2.83 / 2 2.80
  • 1X2 market: Dep. Santo Domingo 36.3% / X 31.7% / Independent Khuniors 32.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.5%
1 36.3%
X 31.7%
2 32.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga Pro Serie B
League table
Dep. Santo Domingo
#818 ptsGP 155-6-412:10
WDWLD
Independent Khuniors
#324 ptsGP 156-6-317:11
LWDLD
Best price across 8 books
1 2.56 Pinnacle
X 3.00 Dafabet
2 3.00 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Dep. Santo Domingo
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 0.80 Conceded 0.60 xG 1.03 xGA 1.18
Independent Khuniors
W-D-L 4-5-1 Scored 1.30 Conceded 0.70 xG 1.36 xGA 0.95

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Dep. Santo Domingo
Rating 1504
Independent Khuniors
Rating 1595

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 02.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Match center

Dep. Santo Domingo - Independent Khuniors

Form 2/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.81 market consensus · line only
X 5.10 Fonbet · line only
1 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.12 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.03 Fonbet · line only
X2 5.20 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano BetVictor Dafabet Marathonbet
2.48 40.3% 2.45 40.8% 2.47 40.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.55 39.2% 2.48 40.3%
X 2.81 35.6% 2.75 36.4% 2.92 34.3% 2.70 37.0% 3.00 33.3% 2.81 35.6%
2.83 35.3% 2.88 34.7% 2.75 36.4% 2.55 39.2% 2.85 35.1% 2.83 35.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.25 80.0% 1.74 57.5%
yes 3.30 30.3% 1.99 50.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.29 77.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.12 89.3%
1x 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.03 97.1%
x2 1.39 71.9% 1.44 69.4% 5.20 19.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.35 29.9%
X 1.81 55.3%
3.86 25.9%
Match center
Dep. Santo Domingo
D W
10.06 22:00 UTC Ecuador: Seriya V Standings
Dep. Santo Domingo 0:0 El NasonalEl Nasonal
05.06 22:00 UTC Ecuador: Seriya V Standings
Dep. Santo Domingo 1:0 22 de Julio22 de Julio
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.5 Scored
0.0 Conceded
4 Points