Ecuador. Division 2
Vinotinto - Gualaseo
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Vinotinto: probability 56% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.90)
- • edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 2:1 (odds 7.50).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Vinotinto - Gualaseo July 1, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Vinotinto.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.92 / X 2.97 / 2 3.86
- 1X2 market: Vinotinto 46.6% / X 30.1% / Gualaseo 23.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Liga Pro Serie BHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Vinotinto - Gualaseo
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | BetVictor | Dafabet | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.89 52.9% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.99 50.3% | 1.87 53.5% | |
| X | 2.97 33.7% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.05 32.8% | 2.75 36.4% | 3.05 32.8% | 2.97 33.7% |
| 4.25 23.5% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.95 25.3% | 4.15 24.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.40 71.4% | 1.69 59.2% |
| yes | 2.75 36.4% | 2.05 48.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.09 91.7% |
| 1x | 5.10 19.6% |
| x2 | 1.15 87.0% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | 1.04 96.2% | — | |
| — | 1.01 99.0% | — | |
| — | 12.00 8.3% | — | |
| — | 8.50 11.8% | — | |
| 1.52 65.8% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.55 64.5% | |
| — | 7.90 12.7% | — | |
| — | 11.50 8.7% | — | |
| — | 1.01 99.0% | — | |
| — | 1.03 97.1% | — | |
| 2.36 42.4% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.30 43.5% |
Vinotinto
Atletico FC
Gualaseo
LDU Portovekho
Full head-to-head historyVinotinto - Gualaseo