Ecuador. Division 2
Ecuador. Division 2
01.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Ecuador. Division 2

Vinotinto - Gualaseo

Futbol
Vinotinto
Vinotinto
1 : 2
Finished
Gualaseo
Gualaseo
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Vinotinto (odds3.79) Score 2:1 (odds7.50) confidence 56% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Vinotinto: probability 56% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.90)
  • edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 2:1 (odds 7.50).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Vinotinto - Gualaseo July 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Vinotinto.

Line favourite market consensus: Vinotinto. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.92 / X 2.97 / 2 3.86
  • 1X2 market: Vinotinto 46.6% / X 30.1% / Gualaseo 23.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.7%
1 46.6%
X 30.2%
2 23.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga Pro Serie B
League table
Vinotinto
#420 ptsGP 155-5-520:13
LLDWL
Gualaseo
#817 ptsGP 156-5-413:10
WWLWL
Best price across 8 books
1 2.20 Dafabet
X 3.08 Pinnacle
2 3.40 William Hill

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Vinotinto
W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 1.50 Conceded 0.80 xG 1.30 xGA 0.98
Gualaseo
W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 0.80 Conceded 0.50 xG 0.99 xGA 1.14

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Vinotinto
Rating 1551
Gualaseo
Rating 1504

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 01.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Vinotinto - Gualaseo

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.11 Fonbet · line only
X 5.90 Fonbet · line only
1 1.94 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.09 Fonbet · line only
1X 5.10 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.15 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 2.35 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.90 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.33 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano BetVictor Dafabet Marathonbet
1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.83 54.6% 1.99 50.3% 1.87 53.5%
X 2.97 33.7% 3.20 31.3% 3.05 32.8% 2.75 36.4% 3.05 32.8% 2.97 33.7%
4.25 23.5% 3.75 26.7% 3.75 26.7% 3.40 29.4% 3.95 25.3% 4.15 24.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.40 71.4% 1.69 59.2%
yes 2.75 36.4% 2.05 48.8%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.09 91.7%
1x 5.10 19.6%
x2 1.15 87.0%

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.04 96.2%
1.01 99.0%
12.00 8.3%
8.50 11.8%
1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5%
7.90 12.7%
11.50 8.7%
1.01 99.0%
1.03 97.1%
2.36 42.4% 2.35 42.6% 2.30 43.5%
Match center
Vinotinto
W
31.05 17:30 UTC Ecuador: Seriya V Standings
Vinotinto 3:0 Atletico FCAtletico FC
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Gualaseo
L
06.06 19:00 UTC Ecuador: Seriya V Standings
Gualaseo 0:1 LDU PortovekhoLDU Portovekho
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVinotinto - Gualaseo

Vinotinto
0 matches total
Gualaseo
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history