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EFIOPIYa: Premer-liga Standings
EFIOPIYa: Premer-liga Standings
03.07.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction
03.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

EFIOPIYa: Premer-liga Standings

Efiopiya Nigd Bank - Bakhir Dar Kenema

Futbol
Efiopiya Nigd Bank
Efiopiya Nigd Bank
2 : 2
Finished
B
Bakhir Dar Kenema

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Efiopiya Nigd Bank - Bakhir Dar Kenema July 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bakhir Dar Kenema.

Line favourite market consensus: Bakhir Dar Kenema. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.86 / X 2.77 / 2 2.51
  • 1X2 market: Efiopiya Nigd Bank 31.5% / X 32.6% / Bakhir Dar Kenema 36.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.9%
1 31.5%
X 32.6%
2 35.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Premier League
League table
Efiopiya Nigd Bank
#1144 ptsGP 3410-14-1034:34
DWLDL
Bakhir Dar Kenema
#354 ptsGP 3415-9-1040:24
WLWLL
Best price across 7 books
1 2.90 Dafabet
X 2.88 Betfair
2 2.55 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Efiopiya Nigd Bank
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 0.80 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.00 xGA 1.08 Corners 2.7
Bakhir Dar Kenema
W-D-L 2-5-3 Scored 0.60 Conceded 0.70 xG 0.93 xGA 0.86 Corners 4.7

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Efiopiya Nigd Bank
Rating 1518 xG 1.04 Win 34%
Bakhir Dar Kenema
Rating 1532 xG 1.08 Win 36%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Form and head-to-head • Premier League

Team stats

Efiopiya Nigd Bank
LLDWLWDLDL
W 2 • D 3 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:0.6 : 1
15 place, 43 pts
Bakhir Dar Kenema
LDWDWDDLDL
W 2 • D 5 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:0.6 : 0.7
7 place, 47 pts
Head-to-head: 5 — Efiopiya Nigd Bank 1, draws 3, Bakhir Dar Kenema 1 (goals 5:7)
  • Bahir Dar Kenema — Ethiopia Nigd Bank2026-02-05 2:2
  • Ethiopia Nigd Bank — Bahir Dar Kenema2025-05-14 0:0
  • Ethiopia Nigd Bank — Bahir Dar Kenema2025-01-25 1:1
  • Bahir Dar Kenema — Ethiopia Nigd Bank2024-12-04 3:0
  • Bahir Dar Kenema — Ethiopia Nigd Bank2024-01-26 1:2

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Match center

Efiopiya Nigd Bank - Bakhir Dar Kenema

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.52 market consensus · line only
X 2.78 market consensus · line only
1 2.86 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.43 market consensus · line only
X2 1.35 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.78 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.92 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 5.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.57 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.25 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet Unibet
2.80 35.7% 2.85 35.1% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.85 35.1% 2.88 34.7%
X 2.70 37.0% 2.72 36.8% 2.88 34.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.77 36.1% 2.75 36.4%
2.55 39.2% 2.55 39.2% 2.40 41.7% 2.55 39.2% 2.49 40.2% 2.50 40.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.57 63.7%
yes 2.25 44.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.34 74.6% 1.38 72.5%
1x 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0%
x2 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.93 25.5%
X 1.80 55.6%
3.33 30.0%