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Mekelle 70 Enderta - Negele Arsi Ketema
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Mekelle 70 Enderta: probability 50% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.93)
- • edge over the line +16 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0 (odds 7.88).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Mekelle 70 Enderta - Negele Arsi Ketema July 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / X 6.60 / 2 2.97
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Premier LeagueHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Mekelle 70 Enderta - Negele Arsi Ketema
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.55 64.5% | 1.60 62.5% |
| yes | 2.30 43.5% | 2.20 45.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.08 92.6% |
| 1x | 1.01 99.0% |
| x2 | 9.00 11.1% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| 1.01 99.0% | — | |
| 1.02 98.0% | — | |
| 1.07 93.5% | — | |
| 1.02 98.0% | — | |
| 4.30 23.3% | — | |
| 11.50 8.7% | — | |
| 1.01 99.0% | 1.75 57.1% | |
| 10.50 9.5% | — | |
| 9.50 10.5% | — | |
| 6.30 15.9% | — | |
| 9.50 10.5% | — | |
| 1.16 86.2% | — | |
| 1.01 99.0% | — | |
| 10.50 9.5% | 1.95 51.3% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.13 88.5% | — |
| Over 1.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — |
| Over 2 | — | 2.03 49.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 6.40 15.6% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.80 17.2% | — |
| Over 5.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — |
| Over 6.5 | 11.00 9.1% | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.70 21.3% | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.85 26.0% | — |
| Under 2 | — | 1.67 59.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 3.50 28.6% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.07 93.5% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.09 91.7% | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.02 98.0% | — |
| Under 6.5 | 1.01 99.0% | — |
Full head-to-head historyMekelle 70 Enderta - Negele Arsi Ketema