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Efiopiya - Premier League
Efiopiya - Premier League Ethiopia
06.05.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction
06.05.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished

Efiopiya - Premier League

Ethiopia

Shenzhen Peng City - Ethiopian Insurance FC

Ethiopia Football
Shenzhen Peng City
Shenzhen Peng City
0 : 1
Finished
Ethiopian Insurance FC
Ethiopian Insurance FC

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shenzhen Peng City - Ethiopian Insurance FC May 6, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.90 / X 1.40 / 2 5.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.8%
1 18.8%
X 65.7%
2 15.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.05.2026 12:00 UTC
Match center

Shenzhen Peng City - Ethiopian Insurance FC

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.90 Fonbet · line only
X 1.40 Fonbet · line only
1 4.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin
6.25 16.0% 4.89 20.5% 5.00 20.0% 6.50 15.4% 5.35 18.7% 5.25 19.1%
X 1.22 81.8% 1.42 70.6% 1.40 71.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5%
7.00 14.3% 6.32 15.8% 6.00 16.7% 7.00 14.3% 5.80 17.2% 6.50 15.4%