AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Fulham. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
27.08.2026 19:00 UTC
England. Championship
Fulham take on AFC Wimbledon on August 27, 2026 in the England. Championship.
Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Fulham — 52%
Model estimate: win Fulham 52.1%, draw 19.4%, win AFC Wimbledon 28.5%. Model favourite — Fulham.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Playoff draw
Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.69 59.2% |
| yes | 2.05 48.8% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.55 64.5% | |
| X | 3.01 33.2% |
| 11.00 9.1% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.69 59.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.86 53.8% | |
| 1.84 54.4% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.18 | 6.3 | 13 |
| Winline | 1.18 | 7 | 11 |
| Fonbet | 1.18 | 6.3 | 13 |
| Betcity | 1.17 | 7.3 | 14 |
| Liga Stavok | 1.17 | 7.4 | 12 |
AFC Wimbledon
Leyton Orient
Full head-to-head history: Fulham - AFC Wimbledon
The Fulham - AFC Wimbledon breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
August 27, 2026.
