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✓ Prematch ready
Prematch data
✓Line
✓Form
✓H2H
✓Prediction
10.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Not started
England. Championship
Plimut - Exeter
Stadium
Khoum Park
P
Plimut
-
:
-
Not started
Plimut go head-to-head with Exeter on August 10, 2026 in the England. Championship.
Recent form (W-D-L): Plimut 4-1-0, Exeter 1-1-3. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Plimut — 63%
Pure model vs market (1 · Plimut): model 44% · market 65% Δ −21 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Plimut 63.4%, draw 20.3%, win Exeter 16.3%. Model favourite — Plimut.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Plimut - Exeter August 10, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Plimut. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.46 / X 4.70 / 2 6.20
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.0%
3 books
1 ✓ Pick
64.7%
X
20.1%
2
15.2%
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
%
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Match result
Plimut
64%
1.46
Draw
20%
4.70
Exeter
15%
6.20
Total
Over 3.5
43%
2.17
Under 3.5
57%
1.66
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Plimut
2
:
1
Exeter
11.46
X4.55
26.15
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Stadium
Khoum Park
Start
10.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market
1 64.7% @ 1.46 / X 20.1% @ 4.70 / 2 15.2% @ 6.20
Weather
+17°C partly cloudy Season Cup ligi 2026/2027 Plimut Argayl
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community
Plimut 80%
📐 Math model
Plimut 63%
💹 Market
Plimut 65%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center
Plimut - Exeter
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
8
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
H2H
Line
More needed
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
yes
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
yes
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Plimut
64.7%
63.4%
market and model agree
Draw
20.1%
20.3%
draw risk
Exeter
15.2%
16.3%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
63.4% / 20.3% / 16.3%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,500 / 1,500
Plimut / Exeter
RD
350 / 350
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
800-2,200 / 800-2,200
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.10
market consensus · no value · model 16.3%
X
4.59
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.45
market consensus · no value · model 63.4%
Double chance
12
1.17
market consensus · no value · model 79.7%
1X
1.10
market consensus · no value · model 83.7%
X2
2.63
market consensus · no value · model 36.6%
Handicap
2 +1
2.04
market consensus · line only
1 -1
1.70
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.16
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.62
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.16 46.3% |
| yes | 1.62 61.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.18 84.8% | 1.16 86.2% |
| 1x | 1.11 90.1% | 1.09 91.7% |
| x2 | 2.65 37.7% | 2.60 38.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.93 51.8% | |
| X | 2.61 38.3% |
| 5.90 17.0% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
Match center
Plimut
Team form
Exeter
10
Matches
10
22
Goals
14
2.2
Per match
1.4
8
Wins
2
2
Draws
4
0
Losses
4
Form & head-to-head
PlimutWDWWWWWWDW
ExeterDLWLLDDDWL
H2H 0-1-1, avg 3.0 gls
2026-04-11 · Plimut Argayl 2:2 Ekseter Siti
2025-10-23 · Plimut Argayl 0:2 Ekseter Siti
Source: ruscore
Odds · 5 bookmakers
Best price: 1 1.52 (Liga Stavok) · X 4.6 (Betcity) · 2 6.1 (Betcity)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.42 | 4.3 | 5.7 |
| Winline | 1.5 | 4.4 | 5.4 |
| Fonbet | 1.42 | 4.3 | 5.7 |
| Betcity | 1.43 | 4.6 | 6.1 |
| Liga Stavok | 1.52 | 4.4 | 5.4 |
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Plimut
W
D
W
W
W
Tavistok
1:4
Plimut Argayl
Plimut Argayl
0:0
Bristol Siti
Truro Siti
0:1
Plimut Argayl
Torki Yunayted
0:1
Plimut Argayl
Bat Siti
0:3
Plimut Argayl
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
0.2
Scored
1.8
Conceded
13
Points
Exeter
D
L
W
L
L
Ekseter Siti
1:1
Bristol Siti
Torki Yunayted
2:1
Ekseter Siti
Ueston-syuper-Mer
0:2
Ekseter Siti
Truro Siti
1:0
Ekseter Siti
Ekseter Siti
1:2
Bredford Siti
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.2
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyPlimut - Exeter
Plimut
8
matches total
Plimut: 4 (50%)
Draws:2 (25%)
Exeter: 2 (25%)
Biggest win
Plimut 4:0 (26.10.19, 07:00)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
6 goals (4:2, 31.10.22, 14:00)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
2:2 (11.04, 06:30)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Plimut
2:2
Exeter
Plimut
2:0
Exeter
Plimut
0:1
Exeter
Plimut
4:2
Exeter
Plimut
4:0
Exeter
Plimut
2:2
Exeter
Plimut
3:0
Exeter
Plimut
0:2
Exeter
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
Plimut
Team 2
Exeter
Matches in history
41
Biggest draw
2:2
Highest-scoring match
4:2
First League
6 / 3 / 1 / 2 / 9 / 7
Second League
17 / 10 / 2 / 5 / 28 / 18
Trofey Angliyskoy Futbolnoy ligi
4 / 1 / 2 / 1 / 6 / 5
Cup England
4 / 4 / 0 / 0 / 10 / 1
Cup ligi
10 / 1 / 4 / 5 / 4 / 9
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form