AI verdict

AI pick Pharco win probability ~56% confidence Medium best odds 1.85

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Pharco. Full breakdown below.

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Egypt: Division 2 A
Egypt: Division 2 A
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
28.08.2026 13:30 UTC
Not started

Egypt: Division 2 A

Pharco - El Mansura

Football
P
Pharco
- : -
Not started
El Mansura
El Mansura

Pharco face El Mansura on August 28, 2026 in the Egypt: Division 2 A.

Recent form (W-D-L): Pharco 1-0-0, El Mansura 1-0-0. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Pharco56%

1 · Pharco55.9%
X · draw19.4%
2 · El Mansura24.6%

Model estimate: win Pharco 55.9%, draw 19.4%, win El Mansura 24.6%. Model favourite — Pharco.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pharco - El Mansura August 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Pharco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.85 / X 3.02 / 2 4.41

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.8%
1 49.2%
X 30.2%
2 20.6%

Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Second League
League table
Pharco
#53 ptsGP 11-0-01:0
El Mansura
#73 ptsGP 11-0-02:1
Best price across 9 books
1 1.91 Betfair
X 3.10 Bet365
2 4.66 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Pharco 0 : 0 El Mansura
11.83
X2.94
24.66

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 28.08.2026 13:30 UTC
Market 1 49.2% @ 1.85 / X 30.1% @ 3.02 / 2 20.6% @ 4.41
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Pharco 56%
💹 Market Pharco 49%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Pharco - El Mansura

Form 1/1 recent games
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Pharco 49.2% 55.9% market and model agree
Draw 30.2% 19.4% draw risk
El Mansura 20.6% 24.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 55.9% / 19.4% / 24.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,751 / 1,658 Pharco / El Mansoura
RD 235 / 257 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,282-2,220 / 1,144-2,172 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.41 market consensus · no value · model 24.6%
X 3.02 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.85 market consensus · weak value +3.5% · model 55.9%
Handicap
2 +1 1.40 market consensus · line only
2 0 4.50 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.80 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.17 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.54 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.32 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.54 64.9%
yes 2.32 43.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.58 38.8%
X 1.82 55.0%
5.80 17.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 1 2.24 44.6%
Under 0.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 1 1.58 63.3%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
2.80 35.7%
1.17 85.5%
1.40 71.4%
4.50 22.2%
Match center

Odds · 2 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.88 (Betcity) · X 3 (Betcity) · 2 4.5 (Fonbet)
Bookmaker1X2
Fonbet 1.82 2.95 4.5
Betcity 1.88 3 4.3
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Pharco
W
21.08 13:30 UTC Egypt: Division 2 A Standings
Pharco 1:0 Proxy
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
El Mansura
W
20.08 13:30 UTC Egypt: Division 2 A Standings
El Mansura 2:1 Baladiyat Makhalla
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Pharco - El Mansura

Pharco
0 matches total
El Mansura
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

When does Pharco vs El Mansura start?

August 28, 2026.