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Ekstraklasa
Ekstraklasa Poland
04.04.2026 15:30 UTC
Finished

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Gornik Zabrze - Cracovia Krakow

Poland Football
Stadium Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla
Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze
3 : 0
Finished
Cracovia Krakow
Cracovia Krakow

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gornik Zabrze - Cracovia Krakow April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Gornik Zabrze.

Line favourite market consensus: Gornik Zabrze. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.89 / X 3.32 / 2 4.11
  • 1X2 market: Gornik Zabrze 49.2% / X 28.1% / Cracovia Krakow 22.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.4%
1 49.3%
X 28.1%
2 22.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5 43.7%
Under 2.5 56.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 15:30 UTC
Match center

Gornik Zabrze - Cracovia Krakow

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.11 market consensus · line only
X 3.32 market consensus · line only
1 1.89 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.85 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.44 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.91 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.15 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.79 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.93 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
1.90 52.6% 1.89 52.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.34 29.9% 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.34 29.9%
4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4% 4.20 23.8% 4.20 23.8% 4.20 23.8% 4.10 24.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Unibet
no 1.77 56.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.76 56.8% 1.83 54.6%
yes 2.00 50.0% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
draw_away 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.07 93.5% 1.03 97.1%
Over 0.75 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.0 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.25 1.20 83.3%
Over 1.5 1.40 71.4% 1.33 75.2%
Over 1.75 1.43 69.9%
Over 2.0 1.58 63.3%
Over 2.25 1.84 54.4%
Over 2.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 3.5 4.20 23.8%
Over 4.5 8.00 12.5%
Under 0.5 8.00 12.5%
Under 1.5 2.90 34.5%
Under 2.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 3.5 1.22 82.0%
Under 4.5 1.07 93.5%