AI verdict

AI pick Nagoya Grampus win probability ~71% confidence High best odds 1.27

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Nagoya Grampus. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
Full Access Go deeper than the free pick Your free pick and probability are below. Full Access adds the full 7-AI consensus, every value-edge pick, math-model probabilities and complete reports for every match.
Get Full Access →
Emperor Cup
Emperor Cup
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
26.08.2026 09:30 UTC
Not started

Emperor Cup

Nagoya Grampus - Gainare Tottori

Football
Stadium Toyota Stadium
N
Nagoya Grampus
- : -
Not started
Gainare Tottori
Gainare Tottori

Nagoya Grampus go head-to-head with Gainare Tottori on August 26, 2026 in the Emperor Cup.

Recent form (W-D-L): Nagoya Grampus 1-0-4, Gainare Tottori 3-1-1. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Nagoya Grampus71%

1 · Nagoya Grampus ✓ Pick71.2%
market 74%
X · draw17.8%
market 18%
2 · Gainare Tottori11.0%
market 9%

Model estimate: win Nagoya Grampus 71.2%, draw 17.8%, win Gainare Tottori 11.0%. Model favourite — Nagoya Grampus.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick banker

Double chance Nagoya Grampus or draw 1.01

Model confidence 91% ~90% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nagoya Grampus - Gainare Tottori August 26, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Nagoya Grampus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.27 / X 5.40 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.4% 3 books · best price +2.4%
1 ✓ Pick 73.6%
X 17.8%
2 8.5%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Emperor Cup
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Nagoya Grampus
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 1.79 Conceded 1.24 xG 1.42 xGA 0.96
Gainare Tottori
W-D-L 1-3-6 Scored 0.84 Conceded 1.60 xG 0.88 xGA 1.47

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Nagoya Grampus
73%
1.27
Draw
17%
5.40
Gainare Tottori
9%
11.00
Total
Over 3.5
41%
2.25
Under 3.5
59%
1.57

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Nagoya Grampus 1 : 2 Gainare Tottori

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket Emperor Cup 2026

Round 1
Src Hiroshima1
Okazaki6
Grulla Morioka0
Sapporo University0
Yamanashi Gakuin0
Tokyo I.U.0
Atletico Suzuka Club4
FC Basara Hyogo2
Reinmeer Aomori0
Akita University0
Wakayama0
AC Numazu6
Ryutsu K1
Criacao Shinjuku2
FC Tokushima1
Kawazoe Club0
Belugarosso Iwami2
Nagasaki International University0
Tochigi2
Urayasu0
Nagano Parceiro2
Fukui1
Gainare T8
Roasso K7
Reilac Shiga2
Japan S.C.1
Tohoku Gakuin University1
Thespa Gunma3
Veroskronos Tsuno3
Kamatamare S1
Giravanz K1
Okinawa SV2
Senshu University2
Uni. of Tsukuba1
Verspah Oita3
Kochi United0
Kanazawa Seiryo University1
Kyoto Sangyo University4
Fukushima U0
Oyama0
Kagoshima Utd2
Renofa Y1
Gifu0
Toyama S0
Ehime0
International Pacific University0
Nara1
FC Osaka4
Round 2
Imabari0
Blaublitz A0
Tosu0
Kataller T0
Montedio0
Fujieda0
Omiya ArdijaA0
Vanraure Hachinohe0
Sapporo0
Ventforet0
Vegalta0
Tochigi City0
Iwaki FC0
Oita0
Jubilo I0
Tegevajaro0
Kyoto Sanga0
Okazaki0
Machida Z0
Grulla Morioka0
Urawa0
Yamanashi Gakuin0
Kashima0
Atletico Suzuka Club0
Shonan0
Reinmeer Aomori0
United Chiba0
AC Numazu0
Yokohama0
Criacao Shinjuku0
Vortis0
FC Tokushima0
Fagiano O0
Belugarosso Iwami0
Frontale0
Tochigi0
Tokyo0
Nagano Parceiro0
Nagoya0
Gainare T0
Gamba0
Reilac Shiga0
Tokyo V0
Thespa Gunma0
Kobe0
Veroskronos Tsuno0
Hiroshima0
Okinawa SV0
Kashiwa0
Senshu University0
Avispa0
Verspah Oita0
Mito H0
Kyoto Sangyo University0
Marinos0
Fukushima U0
Albirex0
Kagoshima Utd0
Cerezo0
Gifu0
V-Varen0
Ehime0
Shimizu0
FC Osaka0

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

Unlock the full AI analysis

Get the 7-AI consensus, math-model probabilities, value picks and full reports for every match with Full Access.

Get Full Access →
Participant opinions
3 predictions Choose an outcome
1 66% 2
X 33% 1
2 0% 0
Match center
Stadium Toyota Stadium
Start 26.08.2026 09:30 UTC
Market 1 74.0% @ 1.27 / X 17.4% @ 5.40 / 2 8.5% @ 11.00
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Nagoya Grampus 66%
📐 Math model Nagoya Grampus 71%
💹 Market Nagoya Grampus 74%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

Match center

Nagoya Grampus - Gainare Tottori

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Nagoya Grampus 73.2% 71.2% market and model agree
Draw 17.5% 17.8% draw risk
Gainare Tottori 9.4% 11.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 71.2% / 17.8% / 11.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,430 / 1,498 Nagoya / Tottori
RD 294 / 262 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 842-2,019 / 975-2,022 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.60 market consensus · no value · model 11.0%
X 5.20 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.25 market consensus · no value · model 71.2%
Double chance
12 1.12 market consensus · no value · model 82.2%
1X 1.01 market consensus · no value · model 89.0%
X2 3.43 market consensus · no value · model 28.8%
Both teams to score
No 1.77 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.94 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.77 56.5%
yes 1.94 51.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3%
1x 1.01 99.0%
x2 3.25 30.8% 3.60 27.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.66 60.2%
X 2.57 38.9%
8.50 11.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.57 63.7%
Over 1.5 2.26 44.3%
Under 1 2.26 44.3%
Under 1.5 1.57 63.7%
Match center
Nagoya Grampus Team form Gainare Tottori
10 Matches 10
14 Goals 16
1.4 Per match 1.6
2 Wins 8
1 Draws 1
7 Losses 1
Nagoya Grampus
W L L L L
22.08, 05:00
Nagoya Grampus 3:1 Gamba Osaka
15.08, 04:00
Kasima Antlers 2:1 Nagoya Grampus
08.08, 05:00
Nagoya Grampus 0:1 Simidzu S-Pals
25.07, 01:00
Konsadole Sapporo 1:0 Nagoya Grampus
20.07, 23:00
Tokio 2:1 Nagoya Grampus
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
3 Points
Gainare Tottori
W W L D W
22.08, 05:00
Gaynare Tottori 2:1 Fukusima Yunayted
19.08, 05:00
Gaynare Tottori 2:2 Roasso Kumamoto
16.08, 05:00
Ekhime 4:0 Gaynare Tottori
08.08, 05:00
Gaynare Tottori 1:1 FK Osaka
06.06, 01:00
Gifu 1:1 Gaynare Tottori
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points

Recent form

Nagoya Grampus WLLLDL
Gainare Tottori WWLDWW

Team form & streaks

Nagoya Grampus WLLLDL
Gainare Tottori WWLDWW

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Match facts

Round: 8 Stadium: Toyota Stadium, Toyota

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Frequently asked questions

When does Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori start?

August 26, 2026.