Liverpool vs Leeds prediction — July 29, 2026

Match center

Liverpool - Leeds

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line Movement

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Liverpool 67.4% 66.3% market and model agree

Draw 18.9% 19.1% draw risk

Leeds 13.7% 14.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 66.3% / 19.1% / 14.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,658 / 1,600 Liverpool / Leeds

RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,076-2,240 / 1,018-2,182 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.60 Fonbet · no value · model 14.7%

X 4.90 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.40 Fonbet · no value · model 66.3%

Double chance

12 1.16 Fonbet · no value · model 80.9%

1X 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 85.3%

X2 2.85 Fonbet · no value · model 33.7%

Handicap

2 -1 2.20 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 7.30 Fonbet · line only

2 0 4.70 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 2.85 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.35 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	2.35 42.6%	2.40 41.7%
yes	1.55 64.5%	1.53 65.4%

Double chance

Outcome	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.15 87.0%	1.16 86.2%
1x	1.07 93.5%	1.09 91.7%
x2	2.90 34.5%	2.85 35.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	1.81 55.3%
X	2.61 38.3%
	6.10 16.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	1.96 51.0%
Under 1.5	1.75 57.1%

Liverpool - Leeds

AI match prediction Liverpool - Leeds July 28, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

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Liverpool - Leeds

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Match history