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AI verdict

AI pick Potters Bar Town win probability ~50% best odds 1.85

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Potters Bar Town. Full breakdown below.

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England: Trofey Fa - Qualification
England: Trofey Fa - Qualification
28.08.2026 18:45 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
28.08.2026 18:45 UTC
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England: Trofey Fa - Qualification

Potters Bar Town - Barton Rovers

Football
P
Potters Bar Town
- : -
Not started
B
Barton Rovers

Potters Bar Town meet Barton Rovers on August 28, 2026 in the England: Trofey Fa - Qualification.

Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Potters Bar Town — 50%

1 · Potters Bar Town49.7%
X · draw20.2%
2 · Barton Rovers30.0%

Model estimate: win Potters Bar Town 49.7%, draw 20.2%, win Barton Rovers 30.0%. Model favourite — Potters Bar Town.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Potters Bar Town - Barton Rovers August 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Potters Bar Town. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.85 / X 4.60 / 2 3.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.4% 3 books
1 50.0%
X 20.1%
2 29.9%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

FA Trophy
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Potters Bar Town
W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 1.16 Conceded 1.33 xG 1.41 xGA 1.50
Barton Rovers
W-D-L 2-1-7 Scored 1.29 Conceded 2.15 xG 1.33 xGA 1.74

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Potters Bar Town
50%
1.85
Draw
20%
4.60
Barton Rovers
30%
3.10
Handicap
Potters Bar Town (0)
62%
1.48
Barton Rovers (0)
38%
2.47
Total
Over 3.5
51%
1.81
Under 3.5
49%
1.91

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Match center
Start 28.08.2026 18:45 UTC
Market 1 50.0% @ 1.85 / X 20.1% @ 4.60 / 2 29.9% @ 3.10
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Potters Bar Town 50%
💹 Market Potters Bar Town 50%
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Match center

Potters Bar Town - Barton Rovers

Market 3 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Potters Bar Town 50.1% 49.7% market and model agree
Draw 20.1% 20.2% draw risk
Barton Rovers 29.8% 30.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 49.7% / 20.2% / 30.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Potters / Barton
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.08 market consensus · no value · model 30.0%
X 4.57 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.84 market consensus · no value · model 49.7%
Double chance
12 1.15 market consensus · no value · model 79.8%
1X 1.31 market consensus · no value · model 70.0%
X2 1.83 market consensus · no value · model 50.3%
Handicap
2 +1 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.47 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.40 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.48 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.06 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.33 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 3.06 32.7%
yes 1.33 75.2%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2%
1x 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8%
x2 1.81 55.3% 1.85 54.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.25 44.4%
X 2.70 37.0%
3.39 29.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.73 57.8%
Under 1.5 2.00 50.0%

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Frequently asked questions

When does Potters Bar Town vs Barton Rovers start?

August 28, 2026.