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Eredivisie
Eredivisie Netherlands
05.04.2026 12:30 UTC Match prediction
05.04.2026 12:30 UTC
Finished

Eredivisie

Netherlands

FC Volendam - Feyenoord

Netherlands Football
Stadium Kras Stadion
Capacity 6 984
FC Volendam
FC Volendam
0 : 0
Finished
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Feyenoord — 69%

1 · FC Volendam11.9%
market15%
X · draw19.0%
market19%
2 · Feyenoord ✓ Pick69.1%
market66%

Model estimate: win FC Volendam 11.9%, draw 19.0%, win Feyenoord 69.1%. Model favourite — Feyenoord.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Volendam - Feyenoord April 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Feyenoord.

Strongest: Feyenoord - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.32 / X 4.86 / 2 1.40
  • 1X2 market: FC Volendam 14.7% / X 19.1% / Feyenoord 66.2%
  • Glicko: FC Volendam 11.9% / X 19.0% / Feyenoord 69.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 21.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.8%
1 14.7%
X 19.1%
2 ✓ Pick 66.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.8%
Over 2.5 65.8%
Under 2.5 34.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 2

Main outcome
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 68.1%
Total Under 2.5
Score 0:1

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Start 05.04.2026 12:30 UTC
Stadium Kras Stadion (Volendam)
Capacity 6,984

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Feyenoord 69%
💹 Market Feyenoord 6618%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

FC Volendam - Feyenoord

FC Volendam: Win 6.00 FC Volendam: Draw 5.00 Feyenoord Win: 1.44 Obschiy total golov bolshe 3.5: 2.10 Obschiy total golov menshe 3.5: 1.67 Individualnyy total golov FC Volendam bolshe 0.5: 1.44 Individualnyy total golov FC Volendam menshe 0.5: 2.62 Individualnyy total golo…

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 11
Statistics 24
Lineups 15
min Event Player Team
58' 58' Yellow Card | G. Yah FC Volendam
61' 61' Substitution 5 | A. Oehlers | assist/sub out: B. Pauwels FC Volendam
61' 61' Substitution 6 | G. Yah | assist/sub out: A. Plat FC Volendam
70' 70' Yellow Card | N. Verschuren FC Volendam
74' 74' Substitution 11 | J. Ideho | assist/sub out: J. Bacuna FC Volendam
75' 75' Substitution 12 | B. Kuwas | assist/sub out: R. Muhren FC Volendam
77' 77' Substitution 2 | G. Borges | assist/sub out: A. Sliti Feyenoord
77' 77' Substitution 3 | R. Sterling | assist/sub out: J. Zinhagel A. Robertson Feyenoord
Metric FC Volendam Feyenoord SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.45 1.23 final
Zablokirovannye udary 3 5 final
Shots off target 6 8 final
Shots on target 4 4 final
Udary vsego 13 17 final
Fouls soversheno 10 5 final
Zheltye kartochki 3 0 final
Offsides 0 2 final
FC Volendam #4 Tsuyoshi Watanabe, #9 Ayase Ueda, #10 L. Valente, #11 Gonçalo Borges, #15 J. Bos, #22 T. Wellenreuther, #24 T. Kraaijeveld, #28 O. Targhalline
Feyenoord #99 A. Descotte
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Descotte Feyenoord football.player.assists 0
A. Descotte Feyenoord Dribling popytki 2
A. Descotte Feyenoord Dribling uspeshno 1
A. Descotte Feyenoord Edinoborstva vyigrano 8
A. Descotte Feyenoord Fouls na igroke 1
A. Descotte Feyenoord Seyvy 0
A. Descotte Feyenoord football.player.minutes_played 79
A. Descotte Feyenoord Tochnost pasov % 1
A. Descotte Feyenoord Klyuchevye pasy 23
A. Descotte Feyenoord Pasy vsego 2
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
FC Volendam 14.4% 11.9%
Draw 18.7% 19.0% draw risk
Feyenoord 66.9% 69.1% market and model agree
xG - 0.74 : 2.11
Total 2.5 Over 21.4% - Under 78.6%
Model check - - Difference 0.03
Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.03

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 11.9% / 19.0% / 69.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,435 / 1,616 FC Volendam / Feyenoord
RD 78 / 80 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.40 market consensus · no value · model 69.1%
X 4.86 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 6.32 market consensus · no value · model 11.9%
Double chance
X2 1.11 market consensus · no value · model 88.1%
12 1.16 market consensus · no value · model 81.0%
1X 2.82 market consensus · no value · model 30.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.13 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.41 market consensus · no value · model 21.4%
Under 2.5 2.71 market consensus · weak value +112.9% · model 78.6%
Both teams to score
No 2.20 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
6.75 14.8% 6.54 15.3% 6.00 16.7% 6.00 16.7% 6.40 15.6% 6.50 15.4%
X 4.85 20.6% 5.00 20.0% 4.60 21.7% 5.00 20.0% 5.20 19.2% 4.75 21.1%
1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.33 75.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet William Hill
no 2.20 45.5% 2.23 44.8% 2.25 44.4% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.58 63.3% 1.57 63.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.57 63.7% 1.58 63.3% 1.57 63.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3% 1.14 87.7% 1.10 90.9%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.16 86.2% 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 2.85 35.1% 2.79 35.8% 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.92 34.3% 3.00 33.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.5 1.13 88.5% 1.09 91.7%
Over 1.75 — 1.11 90.1%
Over 2.0 — 1.13 88.5%
Over 2.25 — 1.26 79.4%
Over 2.5 1.44 69.4% 1.39 71.9%
Over 2.75 — 1.48 67.6%
Over 3.0 — 1.62 61.7%
Over 3.5 2.10 47.6% —
Over 4.5 3.45 29.0% —
Over 5.5 6.25 16.0% —
Under 1.5 5.75 17.4% —
Under 2.5 2.70 37.0% —
Under 3.5 1.70 58.8% —
Under 4.5 1.30 76.9% —
Under 5.5 1.11 90.1% —
Match center
FC Volendam
Founded 1920
Feyenoord
Founded 1908
Match center
FC Volendam
HV H. Veerman Ankle Injury
DK D. Kwakman Injury
Feyenoord
HI Hwang In-Beom Injury
GT G. Trauner Achilles Tendon Injury
FC Volendam Founded: 1920
Feyenoord Founded: 1908
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Volendam - Feyenoord

FC Volendam
0 matches total
Feyenoord
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.