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Eredivisie
Eredivisie Netherlands
04.04.2026 16:45 UTC Match prediction
04.04.2026 16:45 UTC
Finished

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Telstar - Groningen

Netherlands Football
Telstar
Telstar
0 : 2
Finished
Groningen
Groningen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Telstar - Groningen April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Groningen.

Line favourite market consensus: Groningen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.56 / X 3.61 / 2 2.48
  • 1X2 market: Telstar 36.5% / X 25.9% / Groningen 37.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.1%
1 36.5%
X 25.9%
2 37.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5 58.2%
Under 2.5 41.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 16:45 UTC
Match center

Telstar - Groningen

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.48 market consensus · line only
X 3.61 market consensus · line only
1 2.56 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.47 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.50 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.20 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.43 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.83 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.26 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.43 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.50 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.60 38.5% 2.61 38.3% 2.61 38.3% 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.62 38.2%
X 3.65 27.4% 3.90 25.6% 3.72 26.9% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8%
2.44 41.0% 2.44 41.0% 2.56 39.1% 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.57 38.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 2.50 40.0% 2.48 40.3% 2.44 41.0% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.63 38.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.40 41.7%
yes 1.48 67.6% 1.52 65.8% 1.49 67.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.47 68.0% 1.47 68.0% 1.49 67.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.48 67.6% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.53 65.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 — — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 — — 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.5 1.18 84.8% — 1.14 87.7%
Over 2.5 1.57 63.7% — —
Over 2.75 — 1.85 54.1% —
Over 3.0 — 2.01 49.8% —
Over 3.5 2.40 41.7% — —
Over 4.5 4.20 23.8% — —
Under 0.5 11.00 9.1% — —
Under 1.5 4.75 21.1% — —
Under 2.5 2.35 42.6% — —
Under 2.75 — 2.05 48.8% —
Under 3.0 — 1.89 52.9% —
Under 3.5 1.55 64.5% — —
Under 4.5 1.22 82.0% — —
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTelstar - Groningen

Telstar
0 matches total
Groningen
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history