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Estonia - Cup
Estonia - Cup Estonia
06.05.2026 15:15 UTC
Finished

Estonia - Cup

Estonia

Paide Linnameeskond - FK Pyarnu Vaprus

Estonia Football
Paide Linnameeskond
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0
Finished
FK Pyarnu Vaprus
FK Pyarnu Vaprus

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paide Linnameeskond - FK Pyarnu Vaprus May 6, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Paide Linnameeskond. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.09 / X 6.80 / 2 5.05

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 26.3%
1 72.7%
X 11.6%
2 15.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.05.2026 15:15 UTC
Match center

Paide Linnameeskond - FK Pyarnu Vaprus

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.64 market consensus · line only
X 6.80 Fonbet · line only
1 1.09 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin
1.03 97.1% 1.03 97.1% 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0% 1.55 64.5% 1.02 98.5%
X 7.50 13.3% 15.00 6.7% 15.00 6.7% 15.00 6.7% 3.95 25.3% 12.00 8.3%
61.00 1.6% 81.00 1.2% 81.00 1.2% 501.00 0.2% 4.65 21.5% 91.00 1.1%