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Estonia: Esiliiga B Standings
Estonia: Esiliiga B Standings
13.06.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Estonia: Esiliiga B Standings

Tartu Kalev - Vilyandi

Football
Tartu Kalev
Tartu Kalev
3 : 4
Finished
V
Vilyandi

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tartu Kalev - Vilyandi June 13, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Vilyandi.

Line favourite market consensus: Vilyandi. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.35 / X 4.16 / 2 2.22
  • 1X2 market: Tartu Kalev 38.1% / X 21.5% / Vilyandi 40.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.6%
1 38.1%
X 21.5%
2 40.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Esiliiga B
League table
Tartu Kalev
#622 ptsGP 157-1-734:31
LLWWD
Vilyandi
#233 ptsGP 1511-0-450:30
WWWWW
Best price across 12 books
1 2.55 1xBet
X 4.50 Bet365
2 2.48 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Tartu Kalev
W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 2.01 Conceded 2.10 xG 2.34 xGA 1.88
1 -2.87 X -2.10 2 +2.42 1 (DNB) -2.47
Vilyandi
W-D-L 7-0-3 Scored 3.20 Conceded 2.20 xG 2.62 xGA 1.77
1 +4.08 X -5.00 2 -5.00 1 (DNB) +2.39

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Tartu Kalev
Rating 1538
Vilyandi
Rating 1648

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

VALUE

Fonbet · historical ROI

Extra value signals (not 1x2)

MEDIUM

football.main.1x2: p2

odds 2.75 hist. ROI +15.8%

Value Unibet AWAY @ 2.75 (EV +16%, Pinnacle fair 42%)

Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.

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Match center
Start 13.06.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Tartu Kalev - Vilyandi

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.10 Fonbet · line only
X 1.28 Fonbet · line only
1 6.10 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 3.10 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.09 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.04 Fonbet · line only
1 0 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.16 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 4.42 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.25 44.4% 2.41 41.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.30 43.5%
X 4.20 23.8% 4.25 23.5% 4.50 22.2% 3.95 25.3% 4.33 23.1% 3.75 26.7%
2.25 44.4% 2.17 46.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.22 45.1% 2.15 46.5% 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 3.10 32.3%
1x 1.09 91.7%
x2 1.09 91.7%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.23 81.3%
1.03 97.1%
1.25 80.0%
6.20 16.1%
8.50 11.8%
3.70 27.0%
10.00 10.0%
3.65 27.4%
1.09 91.7%
1.04 96.2%

Total

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 1.5 1.03 97.1%
Over 2.5 1.14 87.7%
Over 2.75 1.14 87.7%
Over 3.0 1.14 87.7%
Over 3.25 1.26 79.4%
Over 3.5 1.36 73.5%
Over 3.75 1.42 70.4%
Over 4.0 1.51 66.2%
Over 4.25 1.71 58.5%
Over 4.5 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5%
Over 4.75 2.00 50.0%
Over 5.0 2.28 43.9%
Over 5.25 2.49 40.2%
Over 5.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 5.75 3.14 31.9%
Over 6.0 3.90 25.6%
Under 4.5 1.75 57.1%
Match center
Tartu Kalev
L
01.06 14:00 UTC Estonia: Esiliiga B Standings
Tartu Kalev 2:7 Tallinna Kalev U21Tallinna Kalev U21
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
7.0 Conceded
0 Points
Vilyandi
W
06.06 07:30 UTC Estonia: Esiliiga B Standings
Vilyandi 4:2 Yykhvi Feniks
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTartu Kalev - Vilyandi

Tartu Kalev
0 matches total
Vilyandi
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history