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Estonia: Esiliiga Standings
Estonia: Esiliiga Standings
02.08.2026 16:00 UTC
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Estonia: Esiliiga Standings

Viimsi - Tallinna Kalev

Football
Viimsi
Viimsi
- : -
Not started
T
Tallinna Kalev

Viimsi go head-to-head with Tallinna Kalev on August 2, 2026 in the Estonia: Esiliiga Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Viimsi 1-2-2, Tallinna Kalev 1-1-2. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Viimsi67%

Pure model vs market (1 · Viimsi): model 48% · market 68% Δ −20 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Viimsi ✓ Pick67.3%
market68%
X · draw17.0%
market18%
2 · Tallinna Kalev15.6%
market14%

Model estimate: win Viimsi 67.3%, draw 17.0%, win Tallinna Kalev 15.6%. Model favourite — Viimsi.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Viimsi (odds1.33) Score 2:0 confidence 67%
  • Model backs Viymsi: probability 67% vs 75% on the line (odds 1.33)
  • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Viimsi - Tallinna Kalev August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Viimsi. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.33 / X 5.10 / 2 6.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.2%
1 ✓ Pick 68.2%
X 17.8%
2 14.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Esiliiga A
League table
Viimsi
#235 ptsGP 2010-5-534:19
Tallinna Kalev
#725 ptsGP 207-4-940:40
Best price across 5 books
1 1.38 Superbet
X 5.00 Betfair
2 6.39 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Viimsi
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.50 Conceded 1.10 xG 2.25 xGA 1.28
Tallinna Kalev
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.91 Conceded 2.10 xG 2.05 xGA 1.97

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Viimsi
Rating 1652 xG 2.44 Win 69%
Tallinna Kalev
Rating 1524 xG 0.99 Win 13%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 68.2% @ 1.33 / X 17.8% @ 5.10 / 2 14.0% @ 6.50
Match center

Viimsi - Tallinna Kalev

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Viimsi 68.2% 67.3% market and model agree
Draw 17.8% 17.0% draw risk
Tallinna Kalev 14.0% 15.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 67.3% / 17.0% / 15.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,591 / 1,539 Viimsi / Tallinna Kalev
RD 165 / 187 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,262-1,921 / 1,164-1,913 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.50 market consensus · no value · model 15.6%
X 5.10 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.33 market consensus · no value · model 67.3%
Handicap
2 0 4.50 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.17 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.06 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.33 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 3.06 32.7%
yes 1.33 75.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.70 58.8%
X 3.02 33.1%
5.20 19.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.66 60.2%
Under 1.5 2.09 47.9%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.17 85.5%
4.50 22.2%
Match center
Viimsi
W L D D L
27.07 14:00 UTC Estonia: Esiliiga Standings
Viimsi 3:0 Nymme Yunayted U21Nymme Yunayted U21
16.07 14:00 UTC Estonia: Esiliiga Standings
Viimsi 1:3 ElvaElva
11.07 14:00 UTC Estonia: Esiliiga Standings
Viimsi 2:2 Nymme Kalyu U21Nymme Kalyu U21
02.07 14:00 UTC Estonia: Esiliiga Standings
Viimsi 2:2 Tartu VelkoTartu Velko
14.06 14:00 UTC Estonia: Esiliiga Standings
Viimsi 0:2 Levadiya U21Levadiya U21
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points
Tallinna Kalev
W L D L
18.07 14:00 UTC Estonia: Esiliiga Standings
Tallinna Kalev 3:1 Nymme Yunayted U21Nymme Yunayted U21
11.07 14:00 UTC Estonia: Esiliiga Standings
Tallinna Kalev 2:3 Levadiya U21Levadiya U21
03.07 15:30 UTC Estonia: Esiliiga Standings
Tallinna Kalev 3:3 MaarduMaardu
14.06 07:30 UTC Estonia: Esiliiga Standings
Tallinna Kalev 1:3 Flora U21Flora U21
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.3 Scored
2.5 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyViimsi - Tallinna Kalev

Viimsi
0 matches total
Tallinna Kalev
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history