When does Macara vs Santos start?

AI verdict

AI pick Macara win probability ~40% best odds 2.40

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Macara. Full breakdown below.

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Estonia. League 4

20.08.2026 22:00 UTC

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

20.08.2026 22:00 UTC

Not started

Estonia. League 4

Macara - Santos

Football

Macara

- : -

Not started

Santos

Macara meet Santos on August 20, 2026 in the Estonia. League 4.

Recent form (W-D-L): Macara 0-0-1, Santos 2-0-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Macara — 40%

1 · Macara40.1%

X · draw27.8%

2 · Santos32.1%

Model estimate: win Macara 40.1%, draw 27.8%, win Santos 32.1%. Model favourite — Macara.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Macara - Santos August 20, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Macara. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.40 / X 3.34 / 2 3.07

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.3% 3 books · best price +4.4%

1 41.0%

X 28.2%

2 30.8%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

League table

Macara

#1013 ptsGP 83-4-18:5

Santos

#316 ptsGP 94-4-118:10

Best price across 13 books

1 2.52 1xBet

X 3.40 Bet365

2 3.06 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Macara

W-D-L 3-5-2 Scored 1.00 Conceded 0.67 xG 0.96 xGA 1.34 Corners 5.8

Santos

W-D-L 4-5-1 Scored 1.94 Conceded 1.07 xG 1.85 xGA 0.77 Corners 4.8

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Macara

Rating 1612

Santos

Rating 1628

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Macara

36%

2.40

Draw

30%

3.34

Santos

34%

3.07

Handicap

Macara (0)

51%

1.68

Santos (0)

49%

2.17

Total

Over 2.5

45%

2.07

Under 2.5

55%

1.72

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated18.08.2026 08:53 UTC

1 41% ✓ favourite

X 31%

2 28%

Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Double Chance 1X

Per AI data Form:WWWWL / WDWWW H2H: 0-0-1 Injuries:Verissimo, Henrique, Igor Vinicius Key:Altitude advantage for Macara in Ecuador

AI	1	X	2	Score	Total goals	BTTS	Bet
Google AI	41%	31%	28%	1:0	Under 2.5	No	Double Chance 1X

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center

Start 20.08.2026 22:00 UTC

Market 1 40.0% @ 2.40 / X 28.7% @ 3.34 / 2 31.3% @ 3.07

🥊 Humans vs Machines

🤖 7 AI models Macara 41%

📐 Math model Macara 40%

💹 Market Macara 41%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Macara - Santos

Form 1/2 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Macara 41.0% 40.1% market and model agree

Draw 28.2% 27.8% draw risk

Santos 30.8% 32.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 40.1% / 27.8% / 32.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,464 / 1,862 Macara / Santos

RD 307 / 232 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 850-2,078 / 1,398-2,325 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.02 market consensus · no value · model 32.1%

X 3.27 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 2.32 market consensus · no value · model 40.1%

Double chance

12 1.31 market consensus · no value · model 72.2%

1X 1.35 market consensus · no value · model 67.9%

X2 1.55 market consensus · no value · model 59.9%

Handicap

2 0 2.14 market consensus · line only

1 0 1.66 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.06 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.90 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.90 52.6%
yes	1.84 54.4%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
12	1.29 77.5%	1.32 75.8%
1x	1.33 75.2%	1.36 73.5%
x2	1.56 64.1%	1.53 65.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.99 33.4%
X	2.15 46.5%
	3.71 27.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	2.00 50.0%
Under 1	1.75 57.1%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1, avg 3.0 gls

2026-08-13 · Makara 1:2 Santos

Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3.1 (Winline) · X 3.5 (Winline) · 2 3.05 (Fonbet)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	2.3	3.3	3
Winline	3.1	3.5	2.27
Fonbet	2.3	3.3	3.05
Betcity	2.4	3.2	3
Liga Stavok	2.95	3.35	2.21

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Macara

13.08 22:00 UTC South AMERIKA: Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Cup - Playoff

Macara 1:2 Santos 🇧🇷

0 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

2.0 Conceded

0 Points

Santos

W W

13.08 22:00 UTC South AMERIKA: Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Cup - Playoff

Santos 2:1 Makara 🇪🇨

28.07 22:30 UTC South AMERIKA: Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Cup - Playoff

Santos 4:2 USV 🇭🇺

2 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

3.0 Scored

1.5 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head history: Macara - Santos

Macara

1 matches total

Santos

Macara: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Santos: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Santos 🇧🇷 1:2 (13.08 22:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 13.08 22:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

13.08 22:00 UTC South AMERIKA: Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Cup - Playoff

Makara 🇪🇨

1:2

Santos 🇧🇷

Macara - Santos

AI match prediction Macara - Santos August 20, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

AI outcome leader: 1

Forecast by market

AI predictions

Buy the full AI analysis

Macara - Santos

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Form & head-to-head

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Overall statistics

Match history

More predictions

Frequently asked questions