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28.07.2026 22:30 UTC
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28.07.2026 22:30 UTC
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Estonia. League 4
Sensiano π΅πͺ - Lanus π¦π·
S
Sensiano π΅πͺ
-
:
-
Not started
L
Lanus π¦π·
π― PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Sensiano π΅πͺ β 43%
Pure model vs market (1 Β· Sensiano π΅πͺ): model 29% Β· market 43% Ξ β14 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Sensiano π΅πͺ 42.5%, draw 26.9%, win Lanus π¦π· 30.6%. Model favourite β Sensiano π΅πͺ.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Lanus π¦π· (odds1.77)
Score 1:2
confidence 57%
- • Model backs Lanus π¦π·: probability 57% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.77)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sensiano π΅πͺ - Lanus π¦π· July 28, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Sensiano π΅πͺ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.20 / X 3.50 / 2 3.25
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.8%
1
43.4%
X
27.3%
2
29.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Sensiano π΅πͺ - Lanus π¦π·
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
H2H
Line
More needed
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Sensiano π΅πͺ
43.4%
42.5%
market and model agree
Draw
27.2%
26.9%
draw risk
Lanus π¦π·
29.4%
30.6%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
42.5% / 26.9% / 30.6%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,342 / 1,658
Sensiano π΅πͺ / Lanus π¦π·
RD
291 / 291
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
760-1,924 / 1,076-2,240
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.18
market consensus Β· no value Β· model 30.6%
X
3.43
market consensus Β· draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
2.15
market consensus Β· no value Β· model 42.5%
Double chance
12
1.28
market consensus Β· no value Β· model 73.1%
1X
1.32
market consensus Β· no value Β· model 69.4%
X2
1.64
market consensus Β· no value Β· model 57.5%
Handicap
2 0
2.29
market consensus Β· line only
1 0
1.58
market consensus Β· line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.04
market consensus Β· line only
Under 2.5
1.73
market consensus Β· line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.27 78.7% | 1.28 78.1% |
| 1x | 1.29 77.5% | 1.34 74.6% |
| x2 | 1.65 60.6% | 1.63 61.4% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.55 64.5% | 1.61 62.1% | |
| 2.35 42.6% | 2.23 44.8% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2.05 48.8% | 2.02 49.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.72 58.1% | 1.74 57.5% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 2.10 47.6% | 2.20 45.5% | |
| X | 3.35 29.9% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 3.25 30.8% | 3.10 32.3% |
Match center
Form & head-to-head
H2H 0-0-1, avg 2.0 gls
2026-07-23 Β· Sensiano 0:2 Lanus
Source: ruscore
Odds Β· 2 bookmakers
Best price: 1 2.15 (Pari) Β· X 3.4 (Pari) Β· 2 3.4 (Pari)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.15 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| Fonbet | 2.15 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
Source: ruscore Β· line comparison
Sensiano π΅πͺ
L
Sensiano π΅πͺ
0:2
Lanus π¦π·
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
0
Points
Lanus π¦π·
W
Lanus π¦π·
2:0
Sensiano π΅πͺ
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySensiano π΅πͺ - Lanus π¦π·
Sensiano π΅πͺ
1
matches total
Sensiano π΅πͺ: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lanus π¦π·: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Lanus π¦π· 0:2 (22.07 22:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
2 goals (0:2, 22.07 22:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
β
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Sensiano π΅πͺ
0:2
Lanus π¦π·
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form