PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Estonia. League 4
Estonia. League 4
1/16 finala. 2-y match 28.07.2026 20:00 UTC
28.07.2026 20:00 UTC 1/16 finala. 2-y match
Not started

Estonia. League 4

Tigre πŸ‡¦πŸ‡· - Nasonal πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Ύ

Football
T
Tigre πŸ‡¦πŸ‡·
- : -
Not started
N
Nasonal πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Ύ
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Tigre πŸ‡¦πŸ‡· β€” 46%

Pure model vs market (1 Β· Tigre πŸ‡¦πŸ‡·): model 63% Β· market 45% Ξ” +18 pp model estimates above the market

1 Β· Tigre πŸ‡¦πŸ‡·45.6%
X Β· draw29.8%
2 Β· Nasonal πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Ύ24.5%

Model estimate: win Tigre πŸ‡¦πŸ‡· 45.6%, draw 29.8%, win Nasonal πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Ύ 24.5%. Model favourite β€” Tigre πŸ‡¦πŸ‡·.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Tigre πŸ‡¦πŸ‡· (odds1.42) Score 2:0 confidence 71%
  • • Model backs Tigre πŸ‡¦πŸ‡·: probability 70% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.42)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tigre πŸ‡¦πŸ‡· - Nasonal πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Ύ July 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Tigre πŸ‡¦πŸ‡·. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.13 / X 3.15 / 2 3.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 44.7%
X 30.2%
2 25.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction β€’ nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Tigre πŸ‡¦πŸ‡· 3 : 0 Nasonal πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Ύ
12.24
X3.19
23.83

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference β€” not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 28.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Tigre πŸ‡¦πŸ‡· - Nasonal πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Ύ

Football, Tigre - Nasonal M, 29 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Tigre - Nasonal M, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Cup 2026, round of 32. 2 match.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Overview
More needed
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Tigre πŸ‡¦πŸ‡· 44.5% 45.6% market and model agree
Draw 30.6% 29.8% draw risk
Nasonal πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Ύ 24.9% 24.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 45.6% / 29.8% / 24.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,753 / 1,247 Tigre πŸ‡¦πŸ‡· / Nasonal πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Ύ
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,171-2,335 / 665-1,829 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.72 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 24.5%
X 3.05 market consensus Β· draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.11 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 45.6%
Double chance
12 1.34 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 70.2%
1X 1.24 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 75.5%
X2 1.67 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 54.4%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.71 market consensus Β· line only
2 0 2.60 market consensus Β· line only
1 -0.5 2.06 market consensus Β· line only
1 0 1.46 market consensus Β· line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.22 market consensus Β· line only
Under 2.5 1.61 market consensus Β· line only
Both teams to score
No 1.81 market consensus Β· line only
Yes 1.94 market consensus Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.81 55.3%
yes 1.94 51.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6%
1x 1.23 81.3% 1.24 80.7%
x2 1.65 60.6% 1.69 59.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.93 34.1%
X 1.99 50.3%
4.41 22.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.27 44.1%
Under 1 1.59 62.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0, avg 3.0 gls
2026-07-21 Β· Tigre 3:0 Nasonal Montevideo
Source: ruscore

Odds Β· 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.21 (Winline) Β· X 3.55 (Winline) Β· 2 3.8 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 2.05 3.35 3.7
Winline 2.21 3.55 3.15
Fonbet 2.05 3.35 3.7
Betcity 2.05 3.2 3.8
Liga Stavok 2.15 3.35 3.05
Source: ruscore Β· line comparison
Tigre πŸ‡¦πŸ‡·
W
21.07 20:00 UTC South AMERIKA: Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Cup - Playoff
Tigre πŸ‡¦πŸ‡· 3:0 Nasonal πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Ύ
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Nasonal πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Ύ
L
21.07 20:00 UTC South AMERIKA: Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Cup - Playoff
Nasonal πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Ύ 0:3 Tigre πŸ‡¦πŸ‡·
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTigre πŸ‡¦πŸ‡· - Nasonal πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Ύ

Tigre πŸ‡¦πŸ‡·
1 matches total
Nasonal πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Ύ
Tigre πŸ‡¦πŸ‡·: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Nasonal πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Ύ: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Tigre πŸ‡¦πŸ‡· 3:0 (21.07 20:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (3:0, 21.07 20:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw β€” draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 3

Match history

21.07 20:00 UTC South AMERIKA: Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Cup - Playoff
Tigre πŸ‡¦πŸ‡·
3:0
Nasonal πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Ύ
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Tigre πŸ‡¦πŸ‡·
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Nasonal πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Ύ
Tigre πŸ‡¦πŸ‡· Team comparison Nasonal πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Ύ
7 Games 1
3 Wins 0
3 Draws 0
1 Losses 1
11 Scored 0
5 Conceded 3
12 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
3.86 Udary v stvor 1
7 Games 1
3 Wins 0
3 Draws 0
1 Losses 1
11 Scored 0
5 Conceded 3

Tigre Nasonal M 7 Games 1 3 Wins 0 3 Draws 0 1 Losses 1 11 Scored 0 5 Conceded 3 12 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 3.86 Udary v stvor 1 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.71 Uglovye 2 1 Offsaydy 0 11.43 Foly 16 42.43 % vladeniya myachom 42 2.57 Warnings 1 0.29 Sendoffs 1 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Diego Dabove Glavnye trenery No dannykh Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 58% 29% 13% Double chance 44% 35% 21% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1317584' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');