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Estonia. Superleague

01.08.2026 16:00 UTC

Not started

Estonia. Superleague

Flora Tallinn - Laagri

Football

Flora Tallinn

- : -

Not started

Laagri

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Flora Tallinn — 59%

Pure model vs market (1 · Flora Tallinn): model 34% · market 60% Δ −26 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Flora Tallinn59.2%

market60%

X · draw21.5%

market22%

2 · Laagri19.4%

market18%

Model estimate: win Flora Tallinn 59.2%, draw 21.5%, win Laagri 19.4%. Model favourite — Flora Tallinn.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Flora Tallinn (odds1.53) Score 1:0 confidence 50%

• Model backs Flora: probability 50% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.53)
• no edge over the line (-16 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Flora Tallinn - Laagri August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Flora Tallinn. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.55 / X 4.30 / 2 5.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.0%

1 60.3%

X 21.7%

2 18.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Meistriliiga

League table

Flora Tallinn

#236 ptsGP 1912-0-739:21

ARRAY

Laagri

#725 ptsGP 208-1-1130:34

ARRAY

Best price across 10 books

1 1.57 William Hill

X 4.60 Unibet

2 6.00 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Flora Tallinn

W-D-L 7-0-3 Scored 2.29 Conceded 0.91 xG 2.07 xGA 1.27

Laagri

W-D-L 3-0-7 Scored 1.61 Conceded 1.70 xG 1.36 xGA 1.83

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Flora Tallinn

Rating 1640 xG 2.10 Win 63%

Laagri

Rating 1474 xG 1.00 Win 17%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Flora Tallinn 3 : 3 Laagri

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Start 01.08.2026 16:00 UTC

Market 1 60.3% @ 1.55 / X 21.7% @ 4.30 / 2 18.0% @ 5.20

Match center

Flora Tallinn - Laagri

Form 3/4 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Flora Tallinn 60.8% 59.2% market and model agree

Draw 21.5% 21.5% draw risk

Laagri 17.8% 19.4%

xG - 2.10 : 1.00

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 59.2% / 21.5% / 19.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,525 / 1,728 Flora Tallinn / Harju JK Laagri

RD 231 / 185 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,063-1,986 / 1,358-2,098 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.06 market consensus · no value · model 19.4%

X 4.22 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.53 market consensus · no value · model 59.2%

Double chance

12 1.17 market consensus · no value · model 78.5%

1X 1.12 market consensus · no value · model 80.6%

X2 2.33 market consensus · no value · model 40.8%

Handicap

2 +1 1.85 market consensus · line only

1 -1 1.84 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.31 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.55 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	2.31 43.3%
yes	1.55 64.5%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
12	1.16 86.2%	1.18 84.8%
1x	1.10 90.9%	1.13 88.5%
x2	2.30 43.5%	2.36 42.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.04 49.0%
X	2.38 42.0%
	5.00 20.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	2.19 45.7%
Under 1.5	1.61 62.1%

Match center

Flora Tallinn

L W L

17.07 14:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings

Flora Tallinn 1:2 Nymme Yunayted

02.07 14:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings

Flora Tallinn 3:0 Kuressaare

13.06 14:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings

Flora Tallinn 1:3 Levadiya

1 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.7 Scored

1.7 Conceded

3 Points

Laagri

W W L L

19.07 14:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings

Laagri 5:2 Payde

10.07 14:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings

Laagri 3:0 Narva

05.07 14:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings

Laagri 1:2 Tammeka

13.06 07:30 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings

Laagri 2:3 Kuressaare

2 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

2.8 Scored

1.8 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyFlora Tallinn - Laagri

Flora Tallinn

0 matches total

Laagri

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Flora Tallinn - Laagri

AI match prediction Flora Tallinn - Laagri August 1, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

Score prediction

Buy the full AI analysis

Flora Tallinn - Laagri

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Match history