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Estonia. Superleague
Estonia. Superleague
01.08.2026 14:00 UTC
01.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Not started

Estonia. Superleague

Kalju Nomme - Tammeka

Football
K
Kalju Nomme
- : -
Not started
Tammeka
Tammeka
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Kalju Nomme — 62%

Pure model vs market (1 · Kalju Nomme): model 49% · market 63% Δ −14 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Kalju Nomme ✓ Pick61.8%
market63%
X · draw21.9%
market22%
2 · Tammeka16.3%
market15%

Model estimate: win Kalju Nomme 61.8%, draw 21.9%, win Tammeka 16.3%. Model favourite — Kalju Nomme.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Kalju Nomme (odds1.47) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Kalyu: probability 50% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.47)
  • • no edge over the line (-18 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kalju Nomme - Tammeka August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Kalju Nomme. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.48 / X 4.20 / 2 6.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 ✓ Pick 62.5%
X 22.0%
2 15.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Meistriliiga
League table
Kalju Nomme
#335 ptsGP 2010-5-533:16
ARRAY
Tammeka
#526 ptsGP 188-2-821:26
ARRAY
Best price across 8 books
1 1.53 Superbet
X 4.40 Betfair
2 5.84 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Kalju Nomme
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 1.10 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.93 xGA 1.19
Tammeka
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 1.10 Conceded 1.01 xG 1.52 xGA 1.71

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Kalju Nomme
Rating 1606 xG 2.02 Win 67%
Tammeka
Rating 1493 xG 0.74 Win 13%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 62.5% @ 1.48 / X 22.0% @ 4.20 / 2 15.4% @ 6.00
Match center

Kalju Nomme - Tammeka

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kalju Nomme 62.6% 61.8% market and model agree
Draw 21.8% 21.9% draw risk
Tammeka 15.5% 16.3%
xG - 1.92 : 0.80

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 61.8% / 21.9% / 16.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,637 / 1,546 Nomme Kalju / Tammeka
RD 235 / 199 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,167-2,108 / 1,147-1,944 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.80 market consensus · no value · model 16.3%
X 4.19 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.47 market consensus · no value · model 61.8%
Double chance
12 1.18 market consensus · no value · model 78.1%
1X 1.08 market consensus · no value · model 83.7%
X2 2.44 market consensus · no value · model 38.2%
Handicap
2 +1 1.95 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.75 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.30 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.10 47.6%
yes 1.65 60.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.16 86.2% 1.19 84.0%
1x 1.07 93.5% 1.09 91.7%
x2 2.40 41.7% 2.47 40.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.97 50.8%
X 2.38 42.0%
5.50 18.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.27 44.1%
Under 1.5 1.57 63.7%
Match center
Kalju Nomme
D W D
19.07 12:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings
Kalju Nomme 0:0 KuressaareKuressaare
03.07 14:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings
Kalju Nomme 3:1 Nymme YunaytedNymme Yunayted
14.06 09:30 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings
Kalju Nomme 1:1 PaydePayde
1 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.3 Scored
0.7 Conceded
5 Points
Tammeka
L W
11.07 09:30 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings
Tammeka 1:5 Pyarnu VaprusPyarnu Vaprus
05.07 14:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings
Tammeka 2:1 Harju JK LaagriHarju JK Laagri
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
3.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKalju Nomme - Tammeka

Kalju Nomme
0 matches total
Tammeka
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history