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Estonia. Superleague
Estonia. Superleague
18 round 02.07.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
02.07.2026 14:00 UTC 18 round
Finished

Estonia. Superleague

Kuressaare - Flora Tallinn

Futbol
Kuressaare
Kuressaare
0 : 3
Finished
Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Kuressaare (odds7.91) Score 2:1 (odds7.61) confidence 53% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Kuressaare: probability 53% vs 50% on the line (odds 2.02)
  • • edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 2:1 (odds 7.61).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kuressaare - Flora Tallinn July 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Flora Tallinn.

Line favourite market consensus: Flora Tallinn. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 7.42 / X 4.85 / 2 1.30
  • 1X2 market: Kuressaare 12.2% / X 18.6% / Flora Tallinn 69.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.0%
1 12.1%
X 18.6%
2 69.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Meistriliiga
League table
Kuressaare
#917 ptsGP 185-2-1117:30
LLDWD
Flora Tallinn
#236 ptsGP 1812-0-638:19
WWLWL
Best price across 12 books
1 9.25 1xBet
X 5.51 Pinnacle
2 1.36 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Kuressaare
W-D-L 2-2-6 Scored 0.80 Conceded 1.30 xG 1.27 xGA 1.85
Flora Tallinn
W-D-L 8-0-2 Scored 2.69 Conceded 0.81 xG 1.89 xGA 1.31

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Kuressaare
Rating 1418
Flora Tallinn
Rating 1659

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 02.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Kuressaare - Flora Tallinn

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Kuressaare - Flora, 2 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Estonii po futbolu (Meytriliga) 2026, 18 round. Kuressaare - Flora, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X 7.40 Fonbet · line only
1 7.50 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1X 2.97 market consensus · line only
X2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.48 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.80 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.23 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
8.50 11.8% 7.90 12.7% 7.50 13.3% 6.60 15.2% 8.50 11.8% 6.00 16.7%
X 4.80 20.8% 4.90 20.4% 4.75 21.1% 4.75 21.1% 5.00 20.0% 4.33 23.1%
1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.23 81.3% 2.07 48.3%
yes 3.60 27.8% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.13 88.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.06 94.3%
1x 2.93 34.1% 3.00 33.3% 11.50 8.7%
x2 1.02 98.0% 1.04 96.2% 1.02 98.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
7.40 13.5%
X 2.65 37.7%
1.67 59.9%
Match center
Kuressaare
L W D
26.06 15:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings
Kuressaare 0:1 Pyarnu VaprusPyarnu Vaprus
13.06 07:30 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings
Kuressaare 3:2 Harju JK LaagriHarju JK Laagri
31.05 12:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings
Kuressaare 1:1 PaydePayde
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
1.3 Conceded
4 Points
Flora Tallinn
L
13.06 14:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings
Flora Tallinn 1:3 Levadiya
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKuressaare - Flora Tallinn

Kuressaare
0 matches total
Flora Tallinn
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Kuressaare
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare Team comparison Flora Tallinn
17 Games 17
5 Wins 11
2 Draws 0
10 Losses 6
17 Scored 35
27 Conceded 19
17 Points 33
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
Kuressaare 23 round Goly Mikhail Kolobov 0:1 29' Toni Varyund 0:2 54' Taaniel Usta 0:3 60'
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Kuressaare Flora 17 Games 17 5 Wins 11 2 Draws 0 10 Losses 6 17 Scored 35 27 Conceded 19 17 Points 33 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0.35 Warnings 0.12 0.06 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 16.08.2026 Estonia — Meystriliga Flora –:– Kuressaare 23 round Goly Mikhail Kolobov 0:1 29' Toni Varyund 0:2 54' Taaniel Usta 0:3 60' Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Sander Post Glavnye trenery Konstantin Vasilev Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 17% 22% 61% Double chance 20% 38% 42% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1300734' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');