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UEFA Conference League. Third qualifying round. First leg

03.08.2026 16:00 UTC

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UEFA Conference League. Third qualifying round. First leg

Kuressaare - Harju JK Laagri

Football

Kuressaare

- : -

Not started

Harju JK Laagri

Kuressaare meet Harju JK Laagri on August 3, 2026 in the UEFA Conference League. Third qualifying round. First leg.

Recent form (W-D-L): Kuressaare 0-2-3, Harju JK Laagri 2-0-3. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Harju JK Laagri — 51%

1 · Kuressaare29.8%

X · draw18.9%

2 · Harju JK Laagri51.2%

Model estimate: win Kuressaare 29.8%, draw 18.9%, win Harju JK Laagri 51.2%. Model favourite — Harju JK Laagri.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Harju JK Laagri (odds2.26) Score 0:1 confidence 50%

• Model backs Harju JK Laagri: probability 50% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.26)
• edge over the line +6 pp — value pick
• Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kuressaare - Harju JK Laagri August 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

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Match center

Start 03.08.2026 16:00 UTC

Match center

Kuressaare - Harju JK Laagri

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Form Match Participants H2H

More needed

Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Kuressaare - 29.8%

Draw - 18.9% draw risk

Harju JK Laagri - 51.2% model pick

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 29.8% / 18.9% / 51.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,470 / 1,659 Kuressaare / Harju JK Laagri

RD 161 / 172 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,148-1,792 / 1,316-2,003 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Match center

Kuressaare

D D L L L

01.08 14:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings

Kuressaare 0:0 Payde

19.07 12:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings

Kuressaare 0:0 Kalyu

11.07 12:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings

Kuressaare 2:3 Nymme Yunayted

02.07 14:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings

Kuressaare 0:3 Flora

26.06 15:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings

Kuressaare 0:1 Pyarnu Vaprus

0 Wins

2 Draws

3 Losses

0.4 Scored

1.4 Conceded

2 Points

Harju JK Laagri

L W W L L

01.08 16:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings

Harju JK Laagri 0:1 Flora

19.07 14:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings

Harju JK Laagri 5:2 Payde

10.07 14:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings

Harju JK Laagri 3:0 Narva

05.07 14:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings

Harju JK Laagri 1:2 Tammeka

13.06 07:30 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings

Harju JK Laagri 2:3 Kuressaare

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

2.2 Scored

1.6 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyKuressaare - Harju JK Laagri

Kuressaare

1 matches total

Harju JK Laagri

Kuressaare: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Harju JK Laagri: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Kuressaare 3:2 (13.06 07:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 13.06 07:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

13.06 07:30 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings

Kuressaare

3:2

Harju JK Laagri