Estonia. Superleague
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Paide — 60%
Pure model vs market (1 · Paide): model 48% · market 60% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Paide 59.8%, draw 21.9%, win Kuressaare 18.3%. Model favourite — Paide.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.17 46.1% |
| yes | 1.61 62.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.16 86.2% | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 1.10 90.9% | 1.13 88.5% |
| x2 | 2.25 44.4% | 2.32 43.1% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.01 49.8% | |
| X | 2.32 43.1% |
| 5.50 18.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.27 44.1% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
Paide
Harju JK Laagri
Pyarnu Vaprus
Kuressaare
Kuressaare
Nymme Yunayted
Flora
Pyarnu Vaprus
Harju JK Laagri
Full head-to-head historyPaide - Kuressaare
Kuressaare
The Paide - Kuressaare breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
