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Estonia. Women. Major League
Estonia. Women. Major League
05.08.2026 16:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Not started

Estonia. Women. Major League

Paide Linnameeskond (w) - Flora Tallinn (w)

Football
Paide Linnameeskond (w)
Paide Linnameeskond (w)
- : -
Not started
Flora Tallinn (w)
Flora Tallinn (w)

Paide Linnameeskond (w) meet Flora Tallinn (w) on August 5, 2026 in the Estonia. Women. Major League.

Recent form (W-D-L): Paide Linnameeskond (w) 0-0-2, Flora Tallinn (w) 0-1-0. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Paide Linnameeskond (w) — 44%

Pure model vs market (1 · Paide Linnameeskond (w)): model 33% · market 45% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Paide Linnameeskond (w)44.3%
X · draw23.6%
2 · Flora Tallinn (w)32.2%

Model estimate: win Paide Linnameeskond (w) 44.3%, draw 23.6%, win Flora Tallinn (w) 32.2%. Model favourite — Paide Linnameeskond (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Flora Tallinn (w) (odds2.25) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Flora (Zh): probability 50% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.25)
  • • edge over the line +6 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paide Linnameeskond (w) - Flora Tallinn (w) August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Paide Linnameeskond (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.03 / X 3.87 / 2 2.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.1% 3 books
1 45.0%
X 23.7%
2 31.4%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Paide Linnameeskond (w) 2 : 3 Flora Tallinn (w)
12.03
X3.82
22.88

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 45.0% @ 2.03 / X 23.6% @ 3.87 / 2 31.5% @ 2.90
Match center

Paide Linnameeskond (w) - Flora Tallinn (w)

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Paide Linnameeskond (w) 45.0% 44.3% market and model agree
Draw 23.7% 23.6% draw risk
Flora Tallinn (w) 31.4% 32.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 44.3% / 23.6% / 32.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,253 / 1,481 Paide Linnameeskond (w) / Flora Tallinn (w)
RD 253 / 299 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 747-1,758 / 882-2,079 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.89 market consensus · no value · model 32.2%
X 3.82 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.02 market consensus · no value · model 44.3%
Double chance
12 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 76.4%
1X 1.33 market consensus · no value · model 67.8%
X2 1.65 market consensus · no value · model 55.7%
Handicap
2 0 2.23 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.57 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.16 86.2% 1.22 82.0%
1x 1.29 77.5% 1.36 73.5%
x2 1.59 62.9% 1.70 58.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.50 40.0%
X 2.43 41.2%
3.36 29.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.18 84.8%
Over 1.5 2.02 49.5%
Under 0.5 4.30 23.3%
Under 1.5 1.71 58.5%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5%
2.23 44.8% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-2, avg 6.0 gls
2026-05-09 · Payde (Zh) 2:4 Flora (Zh)
2026-05-09 · Payde (Zh) 2:4 Flora (Zh)
Source: ruscore
Paide Linnameeskond (w)
L L
26.07 14:00 UTC Estonia: Womens League Standings
Paide Linnameeskond (w) 2:4 Saku (Zh)
13.06 14:00 UTC Estonia: Womens League Standings
Paide Linnameeskond (w) 1:2 Viymsi (Zh)Viymsi (Zh)
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.5 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Flora Tallinn (w)
D
12.06 14:00 UTC Estonia: Womens League Standings
Flora Tallinn (w) 2:2 Harju JK Laagri (Zh)
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points