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Europe: Baltiyskiy Cup
Europe: Baltiyskiy Cup
09.06.2026 14:00 UTC Friendlies
Finished

Europe: Baltiyskiy Cup

Estonia - Lithuania

Football
Estonia
Estonia
1 : 0
Finished
Lithuania
Lithuania

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Estonia - Lithuania June 9, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Estonia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.12 / X 7.30 / 2 3.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 35.2%
1 66.0%
X 10.1%
2 23.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.06.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Estonia - Lithuania

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Estonia - Lithuania, 9 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Friendlies (sbornye) — 2026, Friendlies. Estonia - Lithuania, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.04 market consensus · line only
X 7.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.09 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.13 Fonbet · line only
X2 6.30 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.78 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 5.70 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.38 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Yes 10.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.06 94.3%
yes 10.00 10.0%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.09 91.7%
1x 1.13 88.5%
x2 6.30 15.9%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.09 91.7%
1.07 93.5%
2.02 49.5%
7.50 13.3%
1.80 55.6%
5.70 17.5%
9.00 11.1%
1.78 56.2%
1.09 91.7%
2.00 50.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Bettery Fonbet Leon
Over 1.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 2 1.85 54.1%
Over 2.5 2.37 42.2% 2.38 42.0%
Over 3 3.85 26.0%
Over 3.5 10.50 9.5%
Under 1.5 2.35 42.6%
Under 2 1.82 55.0%
Under 2.5 1.53 65.4% 1.54 64.9%
Under 3 1.22 82.0%
Under 3.5 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Estonia
W
06.06 13:00 UTC Europe: Baltiyskiy Cup
Estonia 1:0 Farerskie ostrova
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Lithuania
D
06.06 11:00 UTC Europe: Baltiyskiy Cup
Lithuania 1:1 Latvia
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEstonia - Lithuania

Estonia
0 matches total
Lithuania
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Estonia
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Lithuania
Estonia Team comparison Lithuania
3 Games 3
2 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 1
2 Scored 3
3 Conceded 3
6 Points 6
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 13
0 Shots on target 3
daleniya 0.33 Goly Karel Mustmaa Kristofer Kyayt 1:0 80' Nakazaniya Gvidas Gineytis 31' Patrik Kristal 31' Vaydas Magdushauskas 40' Robi Saarma 42' Vlasiy Sinyavskiy 44' Vilyus Armalas 54' Modestas Vorobevas 56' Edgaras Utkus 74' Kevor Palumets 85' Armandas Kuchis 86' Eligiyus Yankauskas 90+3' Arnas Voitinovicius 90+3' Lukas Mikhelbrink 90+5' Tomas Kalinauskas 90+5'

Estonia Lithuania 3 Games 3 2 Wins 2 0 Draws 0 1 Losses 1 2 Scored 3 Conceded 3 6 Points 6 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 13 0 Udary v stvor 3 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 7 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 17 0 % vladeniya myachom 49 0.33 Warnings 2.33 0 Sendoffs 0.33 Goly Karel Mustmaa Kristofer Kyayt 1:0 80' Nakazaniya Gvidas Gineytis 31' Patrik Kristal 31' Vaydas Magdushauskas 40' Robi Saarma 42' Vlasiy Sinyavskiy 44' Vilyus Armalas 54' Modestas Vorobevas 56' Edgaras Utkus 74' Kevor Palumets 85' Armandas Kuchis 86' Eligiyus Yankauskas 90+3' Arnas Voitinovicius 90+3' Lukas Mikhelbrink 90+5' Tomas Kalinauskas 90+5'