PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
03.08.2026 16:00 UTC
03.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Not started

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

Ararat-Armenia ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ - Tsele ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ

Football
Ararat-Armenia ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ
Ararat-Armenia ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ
- : -
Not started
Tsele ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ
Tsele ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ

Ararat-Armenia ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ take on Tsele ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ on August 3, 2026 in the UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ararat-Armenia ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ 3-0-2, Tsele ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ 1-4-0. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

๐ŸŽฏ PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Tsele ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ โ€” 39%

Pure model vs market (2 ยท Tsele ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ): model 27% ยท market 39% ฮ” โˆ’12 pp model estimates below the market

1 ยท Ararat-Armenia ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ32.9%
X ยท draw28.6%
2 ยท Tsele ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ38.6%

Model estimate: win Ararat-Armenia ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ 32.9%, draw 28.6%, win Tsele ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ 38.6%. Model favourite โ€” Tsele ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Tsele ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ (odds2.37) Score 0:1 Under 2.5 (odds1.80) Handicap H2 +-0 (odds1.70) confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Tsele ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.37)
  • • edge over the line +8 pp โ€” value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1
  • • Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • • at line 2.5 (odds 1.80)
  • • Handicap F2 +0: score forecast 0:1 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.70).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ararat-Armenia ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ - Tsele ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ August 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Tsele ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.90 / X 3.25 / 2 2.35

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.8%
1 32.0%
X 28.5%
2 39.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 2.90 โ†’ 2.90
1X2 X 3.25 โ†’ 3.25
1X2 P2 2.35 โ†’ 2.35

โ†“ odds shortened (money on this outcome), โ†‘ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 03.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 32.0% @ 2.90 / X 28.5% @ 3.25 / 2 39.5% @ 2.35
Match center

Ararat-Armenia ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ - Tsele ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ararat-Armenia ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ 31.7% 32.9%
Draw 29.0% 28.6% draw risk
Tsele ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ 39.3% 38.6% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 32.9% / 28.6% / 38.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,585 / 1,454 Ararat-Armenia ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ / Tsele ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ
RD 197 / 188 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,190-1,980 / 1,077-1,831 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.35 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 38.6%
X 3.25 Fonbet ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.90 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 32.9%
Double chance
12 1.30 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 71.4%
1X 1.53 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 61.4%
X2 1.35 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 67.1%
Handicap
2 -1 1.14 Fonbet ยท line only
2 +1 3.65 Fonbet ยท line only
2 0 1.70 Fonbet ยท line only
1 -1 4.60 Fonbet ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.90 Fonbet ยท line only
Under 2.5 1.80 Fonbet ยท line only
Both teams to score
No 2.02 Fonbet ยท line only
Yes 1.70 Fonbet ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.02 49.5% 2.03 49.3%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.29 77.5% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9%
1x 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4%
x2 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.51 28.5%
X 2.16 46.3%
3.00 33.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.82 55.0%
Under 1 1.92 52.1%
Match center
Ararat-Armenia ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ
W L W L W
2026-08-01 Premier League 26/27
Ararat-Armenia ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ Gandzasar 3:4 Ararat Armenia
2026-07-28 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Ararat-Armenia ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ Shamrock Rovers 2:1 Ararat Armenia
2026-07-21 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Ararat-Armenia ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ Ararat Armenia 2:0 Shamrock Rovers
2026-07-14 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Ararat-Armenia ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ FC Riga 3:2 Ararat Armenia
2026-07-07 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Ararat-Armenia ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ Ararat Armenia 2:0 FC Riga
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
9 Points
Tsele ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ
D D D D W
2026-08-01 1. SNL 26/27
Celje 1:1 Maribor Tsele ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ
2026-07-28 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Celje 2:2 Egnatia Rrogozhine Tsele ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ
2026-07-22 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Egnatia Rrogozhine 3:3 Celje Tsele ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ
2026-07-17 1. SNL 26/27
Celje 2:2 Mura Tsele ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ
2026-07-08 Club Friendly Games 2026
Celje 4:3 MTK Budapest Tsele ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ
1 Wins
4 Draws
0 Losses
2.4 Scored
2.2 Conceded
7 Points