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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
03.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Not started

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

Dinamo Zagreb - Kauno Zalgiris

Football
D
Dinamo Zagreb
- : -
Not started
Kauno Zalgiris
Kauno Zalgiris

Dinamo Zagreb go head-to-head with Kauno Zalgiris on August 3, 2026 in the UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg.

Recent form (W-D-L): Dinamo Zagreb 4-1-0, Kauno Zalgiris 4-1-0. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Dinamo Zagreb81%

1 · Dinamo Zagreb ✓ Pick80.6%
X · draw12.7%
2 · Kauno Zalgiris6.7%

Model estimate: win Dinamo Zagreb 80.6%, draw 12.7%, win Kauno Zalgiris 6.7%. Model favourite — Dinamo Zagreb.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dinamo Zagreb - Kauno Zalgiris August 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.15 → 1.15
1X2 X 6.80 → 6.80
1X2 P2 16.00 → 16.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Match center

Dinamo Zagreb - Kauno Zalgiris

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dinamo Zagreb 82.4% 80.6% market and model agree
Draw 12.2% 12.7% draw risk
Kauno Zalgiris 5.5% 6.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 80.6% / 12.7% / 6.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,803 / 1,628 Dinamo Zagreb / Kauno Zalgiris
RD 190 / 217 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,424-2,182 / 1,194-2,061 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.80 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.15 Fonbet · no value · model 80.6%
Double chance
12 1.07 Fonbet · no value · model 87.3%
X2 4.70 Fonbet · no value · model 19.4%
Total
Over 2.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.35 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.50 66.7% 1.48 67.6%
yes 2.40 41.7% 2.53 39.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.03 97.1% 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5%
x2 5.30 18.9% 5.40 18.5% 4.70 21.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.51 66.2%
X 2.88 34.7%
14.10 7.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.17 46.1%
Under 1.5 1.64 61.0%
Match center
Dinamo Zagreb
W W D W W
2026-07-31 HNL 26/27
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2:0 Slaven Belupo
2026-07-28 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3:2 Thun
2026-07-21 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Dinamo Zagreb Thun 1:1 Dinamo Zagreb
2026-07-02 Club Friendly Games 2026
Dinamo Zagreb Brinje Grosuplje 0:9 Dinamo Zagreb
2026-06-26 Club Friendly Games 2026
Dinamo Zagreb NK Radomlje 0:3 Dinamo Zagreb
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points
Kauno Zalgiris
W D W W W
2026-07-29 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Kauno Zalgiris 1:0 KI Klaksvik Kauno Zalgiris
2026-07-21 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
KI Klaksvik 0:0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris
2026-07-18 TOPLYGA 2026
Kauno Zalgiris 4:0 FC Siauliai Kauno Zalgiris
2026-07-14 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
KF Drita 2:3 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris
2026-07-11 TOPLYGA 2026
Kauno Zalgiris 3:0 Panevezys Kauno Zalgiris
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.4 Conceded
13 Points