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Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match 04.08.2026 18:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
04.08.2026 18:00 UTC 3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match
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Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

Dinamo Zagreb - Kauno Zalgiris

Football
Stadium Maksimir (Zagreb, Croatia), vmestimost: 37168
D
Dinamo Zagreb
- : -
Not started
Kauno Zalgiris
Kauno Zalgiris

Dinamo Zagreb meet Kauno Zalgiris on August 4, 2026 in the Europe: Champions League - Qualifying.

Recent form (W-D-L): Dinamo Zagreb 4-1-0, Kauno Zalgiris 4-1-0. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Dinamo Zagreb — 82%

Pure model vs market (1 · Dinamo Zagreb): model 53% · market 83% Δ −30 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Dinamo Zagreb ✓ Pick81.5%
market83%
X · draw12.0%
market11%
2 · Kauno Zalgiris6.5%
market5%

Model estimate: win Dinamo Zagreb 81.5%, draw 12.0%, win Kauno Zalgiris 6.5%. Model favourite — Dinamo Zagreb.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dinamo Zagreb - Kauno Zalgiris August 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.6% 4 books · best price +1.8%
1 ✓ Pick 83.3%
2 5.3%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.15 ↓ 1.13
1X2 X 6.80 ↑ 7.70
1X2 P2 16.00 ↑ 19.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

UEFA Champions League
League table
Dinamo Zagreb
#282 ptsGP 20-2-03:3
Kauno Zalgiris
#48 ptsGP 42-2-05:3
Best price across 14 books
1 1.19 Betano
X 7.95 1xBet
2 21.00 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Dinamo Zagreb 2 : 1 Kauno Zalgiris
11.13
X9.35
221.00

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 23:04 UTC
1 79% ✓ favourite
X 15%
2 6%
Score2:0 Total goals: Under 3.5 BTTS:No Bet:Handicap 1 (-1.5)
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Claude updated03.08.2026 23:07 UTC
1 77% ✓ favourite
X 16%
2 7%
Score2:0 Total goals: Under 3.5 BTTS:No Bet:Under 3.5 gola

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 79% 15% 6% 2:0 Under 3.5 No Handicap 1 (-1.5)
Claude 77% 16% 7% 2:0 Under 3.5 No Under 3.5 gola

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Stadium Maksimir (Zagreb, Croatia), vmestimost: 37168
Start 04.08.2026 18:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Dinamo Zagreb 78%
📐 Math model Dinamo Zagreb 82%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Dinamo Zagreb - Kauno Zalgiris

football, Dinamo Z - Kauno Zhalgiris, 4 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Dinamo Z - Kauno Zhalgiris, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Champions League UEFA 2026/2027, 3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dinamo Zagreb 83.3% 81.5% market and model agree
Draw 11.4% 12.0% draw risk
Kauno Zalgiris 5.3% 6.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 81.5% / 12.0% / 6.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,803 / 1,628 Dinamo Zagreb 🇭🇷 / Kauno Zhalgiris 🇱🇹
RD 190 / 217 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,424-2,182 / 1,194-2,061 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 7.70 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.13 Fonbet · no value · model 81.5%
Double chance
12 1.07 Fonbet · no value · model 88.0%
X2 5.50 Fonbet · no value · model 18.5%
Total
Over 2.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.35 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.45 69.0% 1.45 69.0%
yes 2.60 38.5% 2.62 38.2%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.06 94.3% 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5%
x2 5.50 18.2% 5.40 18.5% 5.50 18.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.50 66.7%
X 2.91 34.4%
14.70 6.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.14 46.7%
Under 1.5 1.66 60.2%
Match center
Dinamo Zagreb
W W D W W
2026-07-31 HNL 26/27
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2:0 Slaven Belupo
2026-07-28 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3:2 Thun
2026-07-21 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Dinamo Zagreb Thun 1:1 Dinamo Zagreb
2026-07-02 Club Friendly Games 2026
Dinamo Zagreb Brinje Grosuplje 0:9 Dinamo Zagreb
2026-06-26 Club Friendly Games 2026
Dinamo Zagreb NK Radomlje 0:3 Dinamo Zagreb
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points
Kauno Zalgiris
W D W W W
2026-07-29 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Kauno Zalgiris 1:0 KI Klaksvik Kauno Zalgiris
2026-07-21 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
KI Klaksvik 0:0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris
2026-07-18 TOPLYGA 2026
Kauno Zalgiris 4:0 FC Siauliai Kauno Zalgiris
2026-07-14 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
KF Drita 2:3 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris
2026-07-11 TOPLYGA 2026
Kauno Zalgiris 3:0 Panevezys Kauno Zalgiris
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.4 Conceded
13 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Dinamo Zagreb
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Kauno Zalgiris
Dinamo Zagreb Team comparison Kauno Zalgiris
2 Games 4
1 Wins 2
1 Draws 2
0 Losses 0
4 Scored 5
3 Conceded 3
4 Points 8
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
24 Shots on goal 8.5
6 Udary v stvor 4.5
2 Games 4
1 Wins 2
1 Draws 2
0 Losses 0
4 Scored 5
3 Conceded 3

Dynamo Z Kauno Zhalgiris 2 Games 4 1 Wins 2 1 Draws 2 0 Losses 0 4 Scored 5 3 Conceded 3 4 Points 8 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 24 Shots on goal 8.5 6 Udary v stvor 4.5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 9.5 Uglovye 4 1.5 Offsaydy 1 14 Foly 14.5 66.5 % vladeniya myachom 53.75 3.5 Warnings 1.75 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Mario Kovachevich Glavnye trenery Zhelko Sopich Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 71% 16% 13% Double chance 44% 41% 15% Materialy po prognozam «Astana» — «Dynamo» Zagreb. Babayan v bezvykhodnom polozhenii «Dynamo» Zagreb — «Astana». Udacha na storone Grigoriya Babayana «Dynamo» Zagreb — «Rusenborg». Prognoz: «Maksimir» pomozhet khozyaevam pobedit Stavki na LCh: «Zenit», «Barcelona», «Bavariya» and vse «Lion» — «Zenit»: sine-belo-golubye ne ustupyat na «Zherlane» «Zenit» — «Lion»: u «tkachey» No shansov obygrat chempionov Russia CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1321394' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');