UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Dinamo Zagreb - Kauno Zalgiris
Dinamo Zagreb go head-to-head with Kauno Zalgiris on August 3, 2026 in the UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg.
Recent form (W-D-L): Dinamo Zagreb 4-1-0, Kauno Zalgiris 4-1-0. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Dinamo Zagreb β 81%
Model estimate: win Dinamo Zagreb 80.6%, draw 12.7%, win Kauno Zalgiris 6.7%. Model favourite β Dinamo Zagreb.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Dinamo Zagreb - Kauno Zalgiris August 3, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line β for reference, not a betting recommendation.β odds shortened (money on this outcome), β drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Dinamo Zagreb - Kauno Zalgiris
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.50 66.7% | 1.48 67.6% |
| yes | 2.40 41.7% | 2.53 39.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.03 97.1% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.07 93.5% |
| x2 | 5.30 18.9% | 5.40 18.5% | 4.70 21.3% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.51 66.2% | |
| X | 2.87 34.8% |
| 14.20 7.0% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.17 46.1% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.64 61.0% |
Kauno Zalgiris
Full head-to-head historyDinamo Zagreb - Kauno Zalgiris
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form