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Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 2-y match 28.07.2026 16:00 UTC

28.07.2026 16:00 UTC 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 2-y match

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Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

Dinamo Zagreb - Thun

Football

Stadium Maksimir (Zagreb, Croatia), vmestimost: 37168

Dinamo Zagreb

- : -

Not started

Thun

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Dinamo Zagreb — 68%

Pure model vs market (1 · Dinamo Zagreb): model 54% · market 69% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Dinamo Zagreb ✓ Pick67.8%

market69%

X · draw18.6%

market18%

2 · Thun13.6%

market13%

Model estimate: win Dinamo Zagreb 67.8%, draw 18.6%, win Thun 13.6%. Model favourite — Dinamo Zagreb.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Dinamo Zagreb (odds1.36) Score 2:0 confidence 60%

• Model backs Dinamo Zagreb 🇭🇷: probability 60% vs 74% on the line (odds 1.36)
• no edge over the line (-13 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dinamo Zagreb - Thun July 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Dinamo Zagreb. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.39 / X 5.20 / 2 7.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%

1 ✓ Pick 68.8%

X 18.4%

2 12.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Dinamo Zagreb 4 : 1 Thun

11.34

X5.24

27.75

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Participant opinions

706 predictions Choose an outcome

1 84% 43

X 7% 4

2 7% 4

match_qualify match_qualify:w1 1.14 (2)

Double chance X2 3.26 (10) - 1X 1.07 (3)

handicap1 handicap1:-1_5 1.95 (86) - handicap2:1_5 1.80 (37) - handicap1:-1 1.48 (23)

total_t2_under total_t2_over:1 2.90 (26) - total_t1_over:2 1.69 (13) - total_t2_over:0_5 1.65 (11)

Match center

Stadium Maksimir (Zagreb, Croatia), vmestimost: 37168

Start 28.07.2026 16:00 UTC

🥊 Humans vs Machines

👥 Community Dinamo Zagreb 84%

📐 Math model Dinamo Zagreb 68%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Dinamo Zagreb - Thun

Football, Dynamo Z - Tun, 28 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Dynamo Z - Tun, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Champions League UEFA 2026/2027, 2 qualifying round. 2 match.

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Line 1 source Stavka.tv

Player opinions Stavka.tv 51 combined layer without duplicates

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Overview

More needed

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Dinamo Zagreb 68.7% 67.8% market and model agree

Draw 18.5% 18.6% draw risk

Thun 12.9% 13.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 67.8% / 18.6% / 13.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,777 / 1,598 Dinamo Zagreb / Thun

RD 206 / 201 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,366-2,188 / 1,196-2,000 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 7.30 market consensus · no value · model 13.6%

X 5.10 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.37 market consensus · no value · model 67.8%

Double chance

12 1.15 market consensus · no value · model 81.4%

1X 1.08 market consensus · no value · model 86.4%

X2 2.96 market consensus · no value · model 32.2%

Total

Over 2.5 1.58 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.37 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.91 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.91 52.4%
yes	1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
12	1.15 87.0%	1.14 87.7%
1x	1.08 92.6%	1.07 93.5%
x2	3.02 33.1%	2.90 34.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	1.81 55.3%
X	2.59 38.6%
	7.20 13.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	2.28 43.9%
Under 1.5	1.58 63.3%

Match center

Dinamo Zagreb

21.07 16:00 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

Dinamo Zagreb 1:1 Tun 🇨🇭

0 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

1 Points

Thun

21.07 16:00 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

Thun 1:1 Dinamo Zagreb 🇭🇷

0 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

1 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyDinamo Zagreb - Thun

Dinamo Zagreb

1 matches total

Thun

Dinamo Zagreb: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Thun: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 21.07 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (21.07 16:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

21.07 16:00 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

Dinamo Zagreb 🇭🇷

1:1

Tun 🇨🇭

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Dinamo Zagreb

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Thun

1 Games 1

0 Wins 0

1 Draws 1

0 Losses 0

1 Scored 1

1 Conceded 1

1 Points 1

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

20 Shots on goal 16

6 Udary v stvor 3

1 Games 1

0 Wins 0

1 Draws 1

0 Losses 0

1 Scored 1

1 Conceded 1

Dynamo Z Tun 1 Games 1 0 Wins 0 1 Draws 1 0 Losses 0 1 Scored 1 Conceded 1 Points 1 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 20 Shots on goal 16 6 Udary v stvor 3 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5 Uglovye 9 3 Offsaydy 3 13 Foly 19 57 % vladeniya myachom 43 2 Warnings 3 0 Sendoffs 0