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Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match 04.08.2026 17:30 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
04.08.2026 17:30 UTC 3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match
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Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

Hapoel Beer Sheva - Crvena Zvezda

Football
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel Beer Sheva
- : -
Not started
Crvena Zvezda
Crvena Zvezda

Hapoel Beer Sheva take on Crvena Zvezda on August 4, 2026 in the Europe: Champions League - Qualifying.

Recent form (W-D-L): Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1-2, Crvena Zvezda 4-0-1. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Crvena Zvezda — 57%

Pure model vs market (2 · Crvena Zvezda): model 46% · market 57% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Hapoel Beer Sheva20.3%
X · draw23.1%
2 · Crvena Zvezda ✓ Pick56.5%

Model estimate: win Hapoel Beer Sheva 20.3%, draw 23.1%, win Crvena Zvezda 56.5%. Model favourite — Crvena Zvezda.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Crvena Zvezda (odds1.87) Score 0:1 Under 2.5 (odds2.00) confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Tsrvena Zvezda 🇷🇸: probability 50% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.87)
  • • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 0:1
  • • Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • • at line 2.5 (odds 2.00).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hapoel Beer Sheva - Crvena Zvezda August 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Crvena Zvezda. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.90 / X 4.00 / 2 1.63

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.5% 4 books · best price +1.5%
1 19.5%
X 23.1%
2 ✓ Pick 57.3%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 3.80 ↑ 4.90
1X2 X 3.65 ↑ 4.00
1X2 P2 1.85 ↓ 1.65

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

UEFA Champions League
League table
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#193 ptsGP 21-0-13:2
Crvena Zvezda
#86 ptsGP 22-0-09:0
Best price across 14 books
1 4.45 Betano
X 3.96 1xBet
2 1.84 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Hapoel Beer Sheva
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 1.57 Conceded 1.21 xG 1.65 xGA 1.22 Corners 4.8
Crvena Zvezda
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 2.65 Conceded 0.78 xG 2.43 xGA 0.94 Corners 7.3

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Hapoel Beer Sheva 2 : 2 Crvena Zvezda
14.84
X4.06
21.70

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 17:02 UTC
1 25%
X 25%
2 50% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:2
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Claude updated03.08.2026 15:53 UTC
1 24%
X 27%
2 49% ✓ favourite
Score0:1 Total goals: Under 3.5 BTTS:No Bet:Under 3.5 golov

AI consensus:2

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 25% 25% 50% 0:2 Under 2.5 No
Claude 24% 27% 49% 0:1 Under 3.5 No Under 3.5 golov

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Participant opinions
466 predictions Choose an outcome
1 1% 2
X 3% 5
2 95% 144
Double chance 1X 2.19 (13) - X2 1.19 (5)
handicap1 handicap2:-1 2.13 (37) - handicap2:-1_5 2.68 (31) - handicap1:0 3.28 (6)
Total TB 2.5 1.71 (33) - TB 3.5 2.59 (16) - TM 2.5 2.12 (12)
total_t1_under total_t2_over:1_5 1.68 (31) - total_t2_over:2 2.30 (17) - total_t1_over:1_5 3.20 (8)
Match center
Start 04.08.2026 17:30 UTC
Market 1 19.1% @ 4.90 / X 23.4% @ 4.00 / 2 57.5% @ 1.63
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Crvena Zvezda 95%
🤖 7 AI models Crvena Zvezda 50%
📐 Math model Crvena Zvezda 57%
✅ Humans and AI agree
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Hapoel Beer Sheva - Crvena Zvezda

football, Khapoel B-Sh - Tsrvena Zvezda, 4 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Khapoel B-Sh - Tsrvena Zvezda, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Champions League UEFA 2026/2027, 3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 151 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Hapoel Beer Sheva 19.6% 20.3%
Draw 23.2% 23.1% draw risk
Crvena Zvezda 57.2% 56.5% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 20.3% / 23.1% / 56.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,552 / 1,788 Hapoel Beer Sheva / Crvena Zvezda
RD 185 / 240 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,183-1,922 / 1,309-2,267 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.63 Fonbet · no value · model 56.5%
X 4.00 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 4.90 Fonbet · no value · model 20.3%
Double chance
12 1.22 Fonbet · no value · model 76.9%
1X 2.20 Fonbet · no value · model 43.5%
X2 1.16 Fonbet · no value · model 79.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.07 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.13 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.22 82.0% 1.21 82.6% 1.22 82.0%
1x 2.20 45.5% 2.18 45.9% 2.20 45.5%
x2 1.17 85.5% 1.16 86.2% 1.16 86.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.92 20.3%
X 2.37 42.2%
2.20 45.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.66 60.2%
Under 1 2.13 47.0%
Match center

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 4.2 (Betcity) · X 3.8 (Pari) · 2 2.27 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 4 3.8 1.8
Winline 2.9 3.4 2.27
Fonbet 4 3.8 1.8
Betcity 4.2 3.8 1.78
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Hapoel Beer Sheva
W L L D W
2026-07-29 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 2:0 Vikingur Reykjavik
2026-07-21 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Hapoel Beer Sheva Vikingur Reykjavik 2:1 Hapoel Beer Sheva
2026-07-16 Super Cup 2026
Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 1:3 Maccabi Tel Aviv
2026-07-05 Club Friendly Games 2026
Hapoel Beer Sheva Omonia Nicosia 2:2 Hapoel Beer Sheva
2026-07-01 Club Friendly Games 2026
Hapoel Beer Sheva Radomiak Radom 2:3 Hapoel Beer Sheva
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Crvena Zvezda
W W W W L
2026-07-29 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Crvena Zvezda 5:0 Larne Crvena Zvezda
2026-07-26 Superliga 26/27
Crvena Zvezda 3:1 Vojvodina Novi Sad Crvena Zvezda
2026-07-21 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Larne 0:4 Crvena Zvezda Crvena Zvezda
2026-07-17 Superliga 26/27
Crvena Zvezda 5:0 Macva Sabac Crvena Zvezda
2026-07-12 Club Friendly Games 2026
Zenit SPb 3:1 Crvena Zvezda Crvena Zvezda
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
3.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Hapoel Beer Sheva
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Crvena Zvezda
Hapoel Beer Sheva Team comparison Crvena Zvezda
2 Games 2
1 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 0
3 Scored 9
2 Conceded 0
3 Points 6
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
7 Shots on goal 23
2.5 Udary v stvor 14.5
2 Games 2
1 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 0
3 Scored 9
2 Conceded 0

Khapoel B-Sh Tsrvena Zvezda 2 Games 2 1 Wins 2 0 Draws 0 1 Losses 0 3 Scored 9 2 Conceded 0 3 Points 6 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 7 Shots on goal 23 2.5 Udary v stvor 14.5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5 Uglovye 6.5 3.5 Offsaydy 3.5 12 Foly 5 52.5 % vladeniya myachom 73.5 3 Warnings 0.5 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Ran Kozukh Glavnye trenery Deyan Stankovich Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 14% 21% 65% Double chance 18% 39% 43% Materialy po prognozam «Zenit» — «Tsrvena Zvezda». Deyan Stankovich snova v Peterburge «Fenerbakhche» — «Tsrvena Zvezda». Edin Dzheko ne spaset turok «Neftchi» — «Tsrvena Zvezda». Pervoe mesto «Zenita» pod ugrozoy Semak v vygodnom polozhenii. Est li shans u «Tsrveny Zvezdy» v matche s «Zenitom»? «Tsrvena Zvezda» — «Zenit». Brazilskiy karnaval prodolzhitsya «Tsrvena Zvezda» — «Bavariya». Prognoz: Levandovski and Koman pokazhut klass v Serbii «Tottenkhem» — «Tsrvena Zvezda». Prognoz: osteregaytes stavok na Result «Bavariya» — «Tsrvena Zvezda». Prognoz: serby ne ostavyat Noyera v pokoe «Yang Boyz» — «Tsrvena Zvezda». Prognoz: bukmekery nedootsenivayut serbov KhIK — «Tsrvena Zvezda», «Rusenborg» — BATE. Prognoz na matchi Ligi chempionov CHAMP('pag