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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match 04.08.2026 17:30 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
04.08.2026 17:30 UTC 3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match
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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

Hapoel Beer Sheva - Crvena Zvezda

Football
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel Beer Sheva
- : -
Not started
Crvena Zvezda
Crvena Zvezda

Hapoel Beer Sheva take on Crvena Zvezda on August 4, 2026 in the UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg.

Recent form (W-D-L): Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1-2, Crvena Zvezda 4-0-1. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Crvena Zvezda — 50%

Pure model vs market (2 · Crvena Zvezda): model 46% · market 50% Δ −4 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Hapoel Beer Sheva25.2%
X · draw24.8%
2 · Crvena Zvezda50.0%

Model estimate: win Hapoel Beer Sheva 25.2%, draw 24.8%, win Crvena Zvezda 50.0%. Model favourite — Crvena Zvezda.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Crvena Zvezda (odds1.87) Score 0:1 Under 2.5 (odds2.00) confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Tsrvena Zvezda 🇷🇸: probability 50% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.87)
  • • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 0:1
  • • Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • • at line 2.5 (odds 2.00).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hapoel Beer Sheva - Crvena Zvezda August 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Crvena Zvezda. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.60 / X 3.90 / 2 1.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.4% 4 books · best price +3.8%
1 24.7%
X 25.0%
2 50.2%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 3.80 ↑ 4.60
1X2 X 3.65 ↑ 3.85
1X2 P2 1.85 ↓ 1.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Hapoel Beer Sheva 2 : 2 Crvena Zvezda
14.42
X3.91
21.79

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 17:02 UTC
1 25%
X 25%
2 50% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:2
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Claude updated03.08.2026 15:53 UTC
1 24%
X 27%
2 49% ✓ favourite
Score0:1 Total goals: Under 3.5 BTTS:No Bet:Under 3.5 golov

AI consensus:2

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 25% 25% 50% 0:2 Under 2.5 No
Claude 24% 27% 49% 0:1 Under 3.5 No Under 3.5 golov

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Participant opinions
386 predictions Choose an outcome
1 0% 1
X 3% 4
2 96% 119
Double chance 1X 2.08 (11) - X2 1.20 (4)
Total TB 2.5 1.73 (25) - TB 3.5 2.66 (15) - TM 2.5 2.09 (12)
handicap1 handicap2:-1 2.27 (32) - handicap2:-1_5 2.84 (18) - handicap1:0 3.06 (6)
total_t1_under total_t2_over:1_5 1.74 (27) - total_t2_over:2 2.44 (17) - total_t1_over:1_5 3.10 (8)
Match center
Start 04.08.2026 17:30 UTC
Market 1 20.5% @ 4.60 / X 24.1% @ 3.90 / 2 55.4% @ 1.70
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Crvena Zvezda 96%
🤖 7 AI models Crvena Zvezda 50%
📐 Math model Crvena Zvezda 50%
✅ Humans and AI agree
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Hapoel Beer Sheva - Crvena Zvezda

football, Khapoel B-Sh - Tsrvena Zvezda, 4 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Khapoel B-Sh - Tsrvena Zvezda, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Champions League UEFA 2026/2027, 3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 124 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Hapoel Beer Sheva 24.7% 25.2%
Draw 25.0% 24.8% draw risk
Crvena Zvezda 50.2% 50.0% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 25.2% / 24.8% / 50.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,552 / 1,788 Hapoel Beer Sheva / Zvijezda Gradacac
RD 185 / 240 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,183-1,922 / 1,309-2,267 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.70 Fonbet · no value · model 50.0%
X 3.90 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 4.60 Fonbet · no value · model 25.2%
Double chance
12 1.23 Fonbet · no value · model 75.2%
1X 2.10 Fonbet · weak value +5.1% · model 50.0%
X2 1.18 Fonbet · no value · model 74.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.20 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.28 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.23 81.3%
1x 1.87 53.5% 1.84 54.4% 2.10 47.6%
x2 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.18 84.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.40 22.7%
X 2.34 42.7%
2.34 42.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.64 61.0%
Under 1 2.17 46.1%
Match center

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 4.2 (Betcity) · X 3.8 (Pari) · 2 2.27 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 4 3.8 1.8
Winline 2.9 3.4 2.27
Fonbet 4 3.8 1.8
Betcity 4.2 3.8 1.78
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Hapoel Beer Sheva
W L L D W
2026-07-29 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 2:0 Vikingur Reykjavik
2026-07-21 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Hapoel Beer Sheva Vikingur Reykjavik 2:1 Hapoel Beer Sheva
2026-07-16 Super Cup 2026
Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 1:3 Maccabi Tel Aviv
2026-07-05 Club Friendly Games 2026
Hapoel Beer Sheva Omonia Nicosia 2:2 Hapoel Beer Sheva
2026-07-01 Club Friendly Games 2026
Hapoel Beer Sheva Radomiak Radom 2:3 Hapoel Beer Sheva
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Crvena Zvezda
W W W W L
2026-07-29 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Crvena Zvezda 5:0 Larne Crvena Zvezda
2026-07-26 Superliga 26/27
Crvena Zvezda 3:1 Vojvodina Novi Sad Crvena Zvezda
2026-07-21 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Larne 0:4 Crvena Zvezda Crvena Zvezda
2026-07-17 Superliga 26/27
Crvena Zvezda 5:0 Macva Sabac Crvena Zvezda
2026-07-12 Club Friendly Games 2026
Zenit SPb 3:1 Crvena Zvezda Crvena Zvezda
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
3.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Hapoel Beer Sheva
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Crvena Zvezda
Hapoel Beer Sheva Team comparison Crvena Zvezda
2 Games 2
1 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 0
3 Scored 9
2 Conceded 0
3 Points 6
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
7 Shots on goal 23
2.5 Udary v stvor 14.5
2 Games 2
1 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 0
3 Scored 9
2 Conceded 0

Khapoel B-Sh Tsrvena Zvezda 2 Games 2 1 Wins 2 0 Draws 0 1 Losses 0 3 Scored 9 2 Conceded 0 3 Points 6 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 7 Shots on goal 23 2.5 Udary v stvor 14.5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5 Uglovye 6.5 3.5 Offsaydy 3.5 12 Foly 5 52.5 % vladeniya myachom 73.5 3 Warnings 0.5 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Ran Kozukh Glavnye trenery Deyan Stankovich Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 13% 18% 69% Double chance 16% 40% 44% Materialy po prognozam «Zenit» — «Tsrvena Zvezda». Deyan Stankovich snova v Peterburge «Fenerbakhche» — «Tsrvena Zvezda». Edin Dzheko ne spaset turok «Neftchi» — «Tsrvena Zvezda». Pervoe mesto «Zenita» pod ugrozoy Semak v vygodnom polozhenii. Est li shans u «Tsrveny Zvezdy» v matche s «Zenitom»? «Tsrvena Zvezda» — «Zenit». Brazilskiy karnaval prodolzhitsya «Tsrvena Zvezda» — «Bavariya». Prognoz: Levandovski and Koman pokazhut klass v Serbii «Tottenkhem» — «Tsrvena Zvezda». Prognoz: osteregaytes stavok na Result «Bavariya» — «Tsrvena Zvezda». Prognoz: serby ne ostavyat Noyera v pokoe «Yang Boyz» — «Tsrvena Zvezda». Prognoz: bukmekery nedootsenivayut serbov KhIK — «Tsrvena Zvezda», «Rusenborg» — BATE. Prognoz na matchi Ligi chempionov CHAMP('pag