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Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

28.07.2026 15:30 UTC

Not started

Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

Khapoel Beer-Sheva 🇮🇱 - Vikingur Reykyavik 🇮🇸

Football

Khapoel Beer-Sheva 🇮🇱

- : -

Not started

Vikingur Reykyavik 🇮🇸

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Khapoel Beer-Sheva 🇮🇱 — 59%

Pure model vs market (1 · Khapoel Beer-Sheva 🇮🇱): model 40% · market 59% Δ −19 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Khapoel Beer-Sheva 🇮🇱59.2%

market59%

X · draw22.6%

market23%

2 · Vikingur Reykyavik 🇮🇸18.3%

market18%

Model estimate: win Khapoel Beer-Sheva 🇮🇱 59.2%, draw 22.6%, win Vikingur Reykyavik 🇮🇸 18.3%. Model favourite — Khapoel Beer-Sheva 🇮🇱.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Khapoel Beer-Sheva 🇮🇱 (odds1.55) Score 1:0 Under 2.5 (odds2.10) confidence 50%

• Model backs Khapoel Beer-Sheva 🇮🇱: probability 50% vs 65% on the line (odds 1.55)
• no edge over the line (-15 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 1:0
• Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
• at line 2.5 (odds 2.10).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Khapoel Beer-Sheva 🇮🇱 - Vikingur Reykyavik 🇮🇸 July 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Khapoel Beer-Sheva 🇮🇱. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.58 / X 4.10 / 2 5.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.5%

1 59.4%

X 22.9%

2 17.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 P1 1.55 → 1.55

1X2 X 4.10 → 4.10

1X2 P2 5.50 → 5.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated28.07.2026 17:18 UTC

1 45% ✓ favourite

X 33%

2 22%

Score2:2 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:Obe komandy zabyut — Yes

Per AI data H2H: 1-2

AI	1	X	2	Score	Total goals	BTTS	Bet
Google AI	45%	33%	22%	2:2	Over 2.5	Yes	Obe komandy zabyut — Yes

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Match center

Start 28.07.2026 15:30 UTC

🥊 Humans vs Machines

🤖 7 AI models Khapoel Beer-Sheva 🇮🇱 45%

📐 Math model Khapoel Beer-Sheva 🇮🇱 59%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Khapoel Beer-Sheva 🇮🇱 - Vikingur Reykyavik 🇮🇸

Form 1/3 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement

More needed

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Khapoel Beer-Sheva 🇮🇱 60.4% 59.2% market and model agree

Draw 22.6% 22.6% draw risk

Vikingur Reykyavik 🇮🇸 17.0% 18.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 59.2% / 22.6% / 18.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,456 / 1,540 Khapoel Beer-Sheva 🇮🇱 / Vikingur Reykyavik 🇮🇸

RD 204 / 223 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,048-1,865 / 1,094-1,987 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.30 Fonbet · no value · model 18.3%

X 4.10 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.58 Fonbet · no value · model 59.2%

Double chance

12 1.22 Fonbet · no value · model 77.4%

1X 1.14 Fonbet · no value · model 81.7%

X2 2.30 Fonbet · no value · model 40.8%

Handicap

2 -1 1.80 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 1.83 market consensus · line only

2 0 3.75 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 2.12 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.08 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	2.08 48.1%	2.03 49.3%
yes	1.70 58.8%	1.73 57.8%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.22 82.0%
1x	1.14 87.7%	1.13 88.5%	1.14 87.7%
x2	2.42 41.3%	2.36 42.4%	2.30 43.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.09 47.9%
X	2.44 41.0%
	5.30 18.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.59 62.9%
Under 1	2.27 44.1%

Match center

Khapoel Beer-Sheva 🇮🇱

21.07 17:00 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

Khapoel Beer-Sheva 🇮🇱 1:2 Vikingur Reykyavik 🇮🇸

0 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

2.0 Conceded

0 Points

Vikingur Reykyavik 🇮🇸

W D L

21.07 17:00 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

Vikingur Reykyavik 🇮🇸 2:1 Khapoel Beer-Sheva 🇮🇱

14.07 15:00 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

Vikingur Reykyavik 🇮🇸 2:2 Der 🇭🇺

07.07 17:00 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

Vikingur Reykyavik 🇮🇸 1:2 Der 🇭🇺

1 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.7 Scored

1.7 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyKhapoel Beer-Sheva 🇮🇱 - Vikingur Reykyavik 🇮🇸

Khapoel Beer-Sheva 🇮🇱

1 matches total

Vikingur Reykyavik 🇮🇸

Khapoel Beer-Sheva 🇮🇱: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Vikingur Reykyavik 🇮🇸: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Vikingur Reykyavik 🇮🇸 1:2 (21.07 17:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 21.07 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

21.07 17:00 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

Khapoel Beer-Sheva 🇮🇱

1:2

Vikingur Reykyavik 🇮🇸