Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
Linkoln Red Imps ๐ฌ๐ฎ - Melbyu ๐ธ๐ช
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model ยท comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Melbyu ๐ธ๐ช โ 63%
Pure model vs market (2 ยท Melbyu ๐ธ๐ช): model 50% ยท market 57% ฮ โ7 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Linkoln Red Imps ๐ฌ๐ฎ 16.8%, draw 20.5%, win Melbyu ๐ธ๐ช 62.7%. Model favourite โ Melbyu ๐ธ๐ช.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Melbyu ๐ธ๐ช: probability 60% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.47)
- • no edge over the line (-8 pp) โ informational only
- • Expected score 1:2
- • Total: Over 2.5: model expects a total of ~3 goals
- • at line 2.5 (odds 1.75).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Linkoln Red Imps ๐ฌ๐ฎ - Melbyu ๐ธ๐ช July 28, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.70 / X 3.95 / 2 1.65
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.โ odds shortened (money on this outcome), โ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Now in play
score 0:0 ยท 2'
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)
2'Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.
Match momentum (live)
0:0 2'Live momentum from Sportradar (attacks/shots/control). Updates during the match.
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Linkoln Red Imps ๐ฌ๐ฎ - Melbyu ๐ธ๐ช
Football, Linkoln - Melbyu, 28 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Linkoln - Melbyu, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Champions League UEFA 2026/2027, 2 qualifying round. 2 match.
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.05 48.8% | 1.94 51.6% |
| yes | 1.72 58.1% | 1.81 55.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.17 85.5% | 1.25 80.0% |
| 1x | 2.55 39.2% | 2.15 46.5% |
| x2 | 1.11 90.1% | 1.20 83.3% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 6.00 16.7% | |
| X | 2.44 41.0% |
| 1.99 50.3% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.56 64.1% |
| Under 1 | 2.32 43.1% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds ยท 4 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 5.1 | 4.5 | 1.53 |
| Winline | 7.8 | 5 | 1.33 |
| Fonbet | 5.1 | 4.5 | 1.53 |
| Betcity | 4.8 | 4.6 | 1.57 |
Full head-to-head historyLinkoln Red Imps ๐ฌ๐ฎ - Melbyu ๐ธ๐ช
Overall statistics
Match history
Linkoln Melbyu 3 Games 1 Wins 1 Draws 0 1 Losses 0 4 Scored 3 5 Conceded 0 4 Points 3 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 11 Shots on goal 16 4.67 Udary v stvor 6 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4 Uglovye 3 0.67 Offsaydy 1 14.67 Foly 13 34.33 % vladeniya myachom 63 1.67 Warnings 1 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Khuanma Pavon Glavnye trenery No dannykh Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 21% 28% 51% Double chance 25% 35% 40% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1317684' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');
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The Linkoln Red Imps ๐ฌ๐ฎ - Melbyu ๐ธ๐ช breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form