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Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
28.07.2026 14:00 UTC 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 2-y match
Not started

Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

Linkoln Red Imps ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ - Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช

Football
Stadium Europe Sports Park (Gibraltar, Gibraltar), vmestimost: 8066
L
Linkoln Red Imps ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ
- : -
Not started
M
Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช
๐ŸŽฏ PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model ยท comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช โ€” 63%

Pure model vs market (2 ยท Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช): model 50% ยท market 57% ฮ” โˆ’7 pp model estimates below the market

1 ยท Linkoln Red Imps ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ16.8%
market20%
X ยท draw20.5%
market24%
2 ยท Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช ✓ Pick62.7%
market57%

Model estimate: win Linkoln Red Imps ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ 16.8%, draw 20.5%, win Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช 62.7%. Model favourite โ€” Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช (odds1.47) Score 1:2 Over 2.5 (odds1.75) confidence 60%
  • Model backs Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช: probability 60% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.47)
  • no edge over the line (-8 pp) โ€” informational only
  • Expected score 1:2
  • Total: Over 2.5: model expects a total of ~3 goals
  • at line 2.5 (odds 1.75).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Linkoln Red Imps ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ - Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช July 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.70 / X 3.95 / 2 1.65

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.2%
1 19.8%
X 23.6%
2 ✓ Pick 56.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 5.20 โ†‘ 6.00
1X2 X 4.60 โ†“ 4.50
1X2 P2 1.52 โ†“ 1.48

โ†“ odds shortened (money on this outcome), โ†‘ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

LIVE

Now in play

score 0:0 ยท 2'

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

2'
20% 24% 57%
Linkoln Red Imps ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ (1) Draw (X) Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

LIVE

Match momentum (live)

0:0 2'
Linkoln Red Imps ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช
3Attacks5
3Dangerous attacks1
0Shots on target0
40%Control (ball-safe)27%
0Corners0
0Yellow cards0
1Fouls1

Live momentum from Sportradar (attacks/shots/control). Updates during the match.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Participant opinions
620 predictions Choose an outcome
1 21% 33
X 7% 11
2 70% 107
Double chance 1X 2.65 (72) - 12 1.19 (1) - X2 1.13 (1)
Total TB 2.5 1.69 (36) - TB 3.5 2.59 (23) - TM 2.5 2.16 (16)
Both teams to score BTTS yes 1.78 (77) - BTTS no 1.90 (5)
handicap1 handicap2:-1_5 2.25 (35) - handicap2:-1 1.77 (21) - handicap1:1 1.98 (9)
Match center
Stadium Europe Sports Park (Gibraltar, Gibraltar), vmestimost: 8066
Start 28.07.2026 14:00 UTC
๐ŸฅŠ Humans vs Machines
๐Ÿ‘ฅ Community Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช 70%
๐Ÿ“ Math model Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช 63%
Every pick locked before kickoff ยท public log
Match center

Linkoln Red Imps ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ - Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช

Football, Linkoln - Melbyu, 28 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Linkoln - Melbyu, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Champions League UEFA 2026/2027, 2 qualifying round. 2 match.

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions LiveResult 102 - Stavka.tv 49 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Linkoln Red Imps ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ 16.0% 16.8%
Draw 20.5% 20.5% draw risk
Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช 63.5% 62.7% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 16.8% / 20.5% / 62.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,434 / 1,761 Linkoln Red Imps ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ / Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช
RD 231 / 276 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 973-1,895 / 1,208-2,314 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.65 Fonbet ยท weak value +3.4% ยท model 62.7%
X 3.95 Fonbet ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 4.70 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 16.8%
Double chance
12 1.25 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 79.5%
1X 2.15 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 37.3%
X2 1.20 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 83.2%
Handicap
2 -1 1.06 Fonbet ยท line only
2 +1 2.12 Fonbet ยท line only
2 0 1.25 Fonbet ยท line only
1 -1 6.60 Fonbet ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 Fonbet ยท line only
Under 2.5 2.12 Fonbet ยท line only
Both teams to score
No 2.05 Fonbet ยท line only
Yes 1.72 Fonbet ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.05 48.8% 1.94 51.6%
yes 1.72 58.1% 1.81 55.3%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
12 1.17 85.5% 1.25 80.0%
1x 2.55 39.2% 2.15 46.5%
x2 1.11 90.1% 1.20 83.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
6.00 16.7%
X 2.44 41.0%
1.99 50.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.56 64.1%
Under 1 2.32 43.1%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1, avg 3.0 gls
2026-07-21 ยท Linkoln Red Imps 0:3 Melbyu
Source: ruscore

Odds ยท 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 7.8 (Winline) ยท X 5 (Winline) ยท 2 1.57 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 5.1 4.5 1.53
Winline 7.8 5 1.33
Fonbet 5.1 4.5 1.53
Betcity 4.8 4.6 1.57
Source: ruscore ยท line comparison
Linkoln Red Imps ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ
L D W
21.07 14:00 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
Linkoln Red Imps ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ 0:3 Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช
14.07 14:00 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
Linkoln Red Imps ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ 1:1 Inter Klub Eskaldes (And)
05.07 14:00 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
Linkoln Red Imps ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ 3:1 Inter Klub Eskaldes (And)
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
1.7 Conceded
4 Points
Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช
W
21.07 14:00 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช 3:0 Linkoln Red Imps ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLinkoln Red Imps ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ - Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช

Linkoln Red Imps ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ
1 matches total
Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช
Linkoln Red Imps ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช 0:3 (21.07 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 21.07 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw โ€” draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 0

Match history

21.07 14:00 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
Linkoln Red Imps ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ
0:3
Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Linkoln Red Imps ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช
Linkoln Red Imps ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Team comparison Melbyu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช
3 Games 1
1 Wins 1
1 Draws 0
1 Losses 0
4 Scored 3
5 Conceded 0
4 Points 3
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
11 Shots on goal 16
4.67 Udary v stvor 6
3 Games 1
1 Wins 1
1 Draws 0
1 Losses 0
4 Scored 3
5 Conceded 0

Linkoln Melbyu 3 Games 1 Wins 1 Draws 0 1 Losses 0 4 Scored 3 5 Conceded 0 4 Points 3 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 11 Shots on goal 16 4.67 Udary v stvor 6 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4 Uglovye 3 0.67 Offsaydy 1 14.67 Foly 13 34.33 % vladeniya myachom 63 1.67 Warnings 1 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Khuanma Pavon Glavnye trenery No dannykh Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 21% 28% 51% Double chance 25% 35% 40% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1317684' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');