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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
03.08.2026 16:00 UTC
03.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Not started

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

Mjolby - Slovan Bratislava

Football
Mjolby
Mjolby
- : -
Not started
Slovan Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava

Mjolby meet Slovan Bratislava on August 3, 2026 in the UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg.

Recent form (W-D-L): Mjolby 1-2-2, Slovan Bratislava 4-1-0. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Mjolby — 47%

Pure model vs market (1 · Mjolby): model 47% · market 47% Δ 0 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Mjolby47.1%
X · draw25.5%
2 · Slovan Bratislava27.4%

Model estimate: win Mjolby 47.1%, draw 25.5%, win Slovan Bratislava 27.4%. Model favourite — Mjolby.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mjolby (odds1.98) Score 1:0 Under 2.5 (odds1.90) Handicap H1 +0 (odds1.50) confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Melbyu 🇸🇪: probability 50% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.98)
  • • no edge over the line (-1 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:0
  • • Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • • at line 2.5 (odds 1.90)
  • • Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 1:0 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.50).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mjolby - Slovan Bratislava August 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mjolby. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.97 / X 3.60 / 2 3.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 47.0%
X 25.7%
2 27.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.97 → 1.97
1X2 X 3.60 → 3.60
1X2 P2 3.35 ↑ 3.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 47.0% @ 1.97 / X 25.7% @ 3.60 / 2 27.2% @ 3.40
Match center

Mjolby - Slovan Bratislava

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mjolby 47.1% 47.1% market and model agree
Draw 25.6% 25.5% draw risk
Slovan Bratislava 27.3% 27.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 47.1% / 25.5% / 27.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,685 / 1,621 Mjolby / Slovan Bratislava
RD 244 / 182 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,198-2,173 / 1,257-1,985 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.40 Fonbet · no value · model 27.4%
X 3.60 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.97 Fonbet · no value · model 47.1%
Double chance
12 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 74.5%
1X 1.27 Fonbet · no value · model 72.6%
X2 1.73 Fonbet · no value · model 52.9%
Handicap
2 -1 1.40 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.80 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.45 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.02 49.5% 2.03 49.3%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
12 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0%
1x 1.30 76.9% 1.27 78.7%
x2 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.53 39.5%
X 2.28 43.9%
4.07 24.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.70 58.8%
Under 1 2.07 48.3%
Match center
Mjolby
D L W D L
2026-07-28 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Mjolby Lincoln Red Imps 0:0 Mjolby
2026-07-25 Allsvenskan 2026
Mjolby Kalmar FF 2:1 Mjolby
2026-07-21 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Mjolby Mjolby 3:0 Lincoln Red Imps
2026-07-17 Allsvenskan 2026
Mjolby Mjolby 0:0 Vasteras
2026-07-11 Allsvenskan 2026
Mjolby Mjolby 1:2 AIK
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
5 Points
Slovan Bratislava
W D W W W
2026-08-01 Superliga 26/27
Slovan Bratislava 3:0 Zeleziarne Podbrezova Slovan Bratislava
2026-07-29 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Slovan Bratislava 1:1 Iberia 1999 Slovan Bratislava
2026-07-26 Superliga 26/27
Dukla Banska Bystrica 0:4 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava
2026-07-21 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Iberia 1999 0:2 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava
2026-07-16 Club Friendly Games 2026
Slovan Bratislava 3:2 Pafos Slovan Bratislava
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMjolby - Slovan Bratislava

Mjolby
0 matches total
Slovan Bratislava
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history