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Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
04.08.2026 16:00 UTC 3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match
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Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

Mjolby - Slovan Bratislava

Football
Stadium Strandvallen (Khellevik, Sweden), vmestimost: 6500
Mjolby
Mjolby
- : -
Not started
Slovan Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava

Mjolby go head-to-head with Slovan Bratislava on August 4, 2026 in the Europe: Champions League - Qualifying.

Recent form (W-D-L): Mjolby 1-2-2, Slovan Bratislava 4-1-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Mjolby47%

Pure model vs market (1 · Mjolby): model 47% · market 47% Δ 0 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Mjolby46.6%
X · draw25.8%
2 · Slovan Bratislava27.5%

Model estimate: win Mjolby 46.6%, draw 25.8%, win Slovan Bratislava 27.5%. Model favourite — Mjolby.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mjolby (odds1.98) Score 1:0 Under 2.5 (odds1.90) Handicap H1 +0 (odds1.50) confidence 50%
  • Model backs Melbyu 🇸🇪: probability 50% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.98)
  • no edge over the line (-1 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 1:0
  • Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • at line 2.5 (odds 1.90)
  • Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 1:0 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.50).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mjolby - Slovan Bratislava August 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mjolby. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.98 / X 3.45 / 2 3.65

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.9% 3 books · best price +2.5%
1 47.0%
X 25.8%
2 27.2%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.97 ↑ 2.03
1X2 X 3.60 ↓ 3.45
1X2 P2 3.35 ↑ 3.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Mjolby 1 : 2 Slovan Bratislava
12.07
X3.55
23.62

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Participant opinions
397 predictions Choose an outcome
1 56% 60
X 22% 24
2 20% 22
Double chance X2 1.79 (80) - 1X 1.30 (1)
Total TM 2.5 2.00 (25) - TB 2.5 1.81 (18) - TB 3.5 2.90 (17)
total_t2_under total_t2_over:1_5 2.77 (34) - total_t2_over:1 1.84 (13) - total_t1_over:1_5 1.95 (8)
handicap1 handicap2:0 2.43 (37) - handicap1:-1 2.86 (10) - handicap2:2_5 1.04 (1)
Match center
Stadium Strandvallen (Khellevik, Sweden), vmestimost: 6500
Start 04.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 47.3% @ 1.98 / X 27.1% @ 3.45 / 2 25.6% @ 3.65
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Mjolby 56%
📐 Math model Mjolby 47%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Mjolby - Slovan Bratislava

football, Melbyu - Slovan Br, 4 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Melbyu - Slovan Br, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Champions League UEFA 2026/2027, 3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions LiveResult 64 - Stavka.tv 42 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mjolby 46.6% 46.6% market and model agree
Draw 26.0% 25.8% draw risk
Slovan Bratislava 27.4% 27.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 46.6% / 25.8% / 27.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,685 / 1,621 Mjolby / Slovan Bratislava
RD 244 / 182 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,198-2,173 / 1,257-1,985 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.65 Fonbet · no value · model 27.5%
X 3.45 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.98 Fonbet · no value · model 46.6%
Double chance
12 1.30 Fonbet · no value · model 74.2%
1X 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 72.5%
X2 1.78 Fonbet · no value · model 53.4%
Handicap
2 -1 1.40 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.00 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.55 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
12 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9%
1x 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0%
x2 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.58 38.8%
X 2.30 43.5%
3.87 25.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.72 58.1%
Under 1 2.05 48.8%
Match center

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.03 (Betcity) · X 3.7 (Winline) · 2 3.55 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 2.02 3.65 3.35
Winline 1.9 3.7 3.55
Fonbet 2.02 3.65 3.35
Betcity 2.03 3.7 3.3
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Mjolby
D L W D L
2026-07-28 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Mjolby Lincoln Red Imps 0:0 Mjolby
2026-07-25 Allsvenskan 2026
Mjolby Kalmar FF 2:1 Mjolby
2026-07-21 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Mjolby Mjolby 3:0 Lincoln Red Imps
2026-07-17 Allsvenskan 2026
Mjolby Mjolby 0:0 Vasteras
2026-07-11 Allsvenskan 2026
Mjolby Mjolby 1:2 AIK
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
5 Points
Slovan Bratislava
W D W W W
2026-08-01 Superliga 26/27
Slovan Bratislava 3:0 Zeleziarne Podbrezova Slovan Bratislava
2026-07-29 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Slovan Bratislava 1:1 Iberia 1999 Slovan Bratislava
2026-07-26 Superliga 26/27
Dukla Banska Bystrica 0:4 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava
2026-07-21 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Iberia 1999 0:2 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava
2026-07-16 Club Friendly Games 2026
Slovan Bratislava 3:2 Pafos Slovan Bratislava
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMjolby - Slovan Bratislava

Mjolby
0 matches total
Slovan Bratislava
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Mjolby
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Slovan Bratislava
Mjolby Team comparison Slovan Bratislava
2 Games 2
1 Wins 1
1 Draws 1
0 Losses 0
3 Scored 3
0 Conceded 1
4 Points 4
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
17 Shots on goal 11
7.5 Udary v stvor 5
2 Games 2
1 Wins 1
1 Draws 1
0 Losses 0
3 Scored 3
0 Conceded 1

Melbyu Slovan Br 2 Games 2 1 Wins 1 Draws 1 0 Losses 0 3 Scored 3 0 Conceded 1 4 Points 4 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 17 Shots on goal 11 7.5 Udary v stvor 5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.5 Uglovye 1.5 0.5 Offsaydy 1 18 Foly 14.5 59.5 % vladeniya myachom 40.5 3 Warnings 2.5 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 33% 24% 43% Double chance 29% 37% 34% Materialy po prognozam Stavki na Ligu Evropy: «Rubin» prodolzhit zabivat v evrokubke Ekspress na 2 round Ligi Evropy Ekspress dnya: stavki na Ligu chempionov CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1321396' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');