Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
Mjolby - Slovan Bratislava
Mjolby go head-to-head with Slovan Bratislava on August 4, 2026 in the Europe: Champions League - Qualifying.
Recent form (W-D-L): Mjolby 1-2-2, Slovan Bratislava 4-1-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Mjolby — 47%
Pure model vs market (1 · Mjolby): model 47% · market 47% Δ 0 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Mjolby 46.6%, draw 25.8%, win Slovan Bratislava 27.5%. Model favourite — Mjolby.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Melbyu 🇸🇪: probability 50% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.98)
- • no edge over the line (-1 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:0
- • Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
- • at line 2.5 (odds 1.90)
- • Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 1:0 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.50).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Mjolby - Slovan Bratislava August 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.98 / X 3.45 / 2 3.65
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Mjolby - Slovan Bratislava
football, Melbyu - Slovan Br, 4 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Melbyu - Slovan Br, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Champions League UEFA 2026/2027, 3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match.
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.00 50.0% | 2.03 49.3% |
| yes | 1.75 57.1% | 1.73 57.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.25 80.0% | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.30 76.9% | 1.25 80.0% |
| x2 | 1.73 57.8% | 1.78 56.2% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.58 38.8% | |
| X | 2.30 43.5% |
| 3.87 25.8% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.72 58.1% |
| Under 1 | 2.05 48.8% |
Odds · 4 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.02 | 3.65 | 3.35 |
| Winline | 1.9 | 3.7 | 3.55 |
| Fonbet | 2.02 | 3.65 | 3.35 |
| Betcity | 2.03 | 3.7 | 3.3 |
Mjolby
Slovan Bratislava
Full head-to-head historyMjolby - Slovan Bratislava
Match history
Melbyu Slovan Br 2 Games 2 1 Wins 1 Draws 1 0 Losses 0 3 Scored 3 0 Conceded 1 4 Points 4 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 17 Shots on goal 11 7.5 Udary v stvor 5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.5 Uglovye 1.5 0.5 Offsaydy 1 18 Foly 14.5 59.5 % vladeniya myachom 40.5 3 Warnings 2.5 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 33% 24% 43% Double chance 29% 37% 34% Materialy po prognozam Stavki na Ligu Evropy: «Rubin» prodolzhit zabivat v evrokubke Ekspress na 2 round Ligi Evropy Ekspress dnya: stavki na Ligu chempionov CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1321396' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form