UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Olympiacos Piraeus face NEC Nijmegen on August 3, 2026 in the UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg.
Recent form (W-D-L): Olympiacos Piraeus 1-1-3, NEC Nijmegen 1-0-4. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Olympiacos Piraeus — 60%
Pure model vs market (1 · Olympiacos Piraeus): model 44% · market 61% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Olympiacos Piraeus 59.8%, draw 22.7%, win NEC Nijmegen 17.5%. Model favourite — Olympiacos Piraeus.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% | 2.02 49.5% |
| yes | 1.65 60.6% | 1.74 57.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.18 84.8% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 1.09 91.7% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.11 90.1% |
| x2 | 2.30 43.5% | 2.36 42.4% | 2.35 42.6% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.02 49.5% | |
| X | 2.43 41.2% |
| 5.80 17.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.56 64.1% |
| Under 1 | 2.32 43.1% |
Olympiacos Piraeus
NEC Nijmegen
Full head-to-head historyOlympiacos Piraeus - NEC Nijmegen
The Olympiacos Piraeus - NEC Nijmegen breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
