UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Olympiacos Piraeus - NEC Nijmegen
Olympiacos Piraeus take on NEC Nijmegen on August 4, 2026 in the UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg.
Recent form (W-D-L): Olympiacos Piraeus 1-1-3, NEC Nijmegen 1-0-4. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Olympiacos Piraeus — 60%
Pure model vs market (1 · Olympiacos Piraeus): model 44% · market 61% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Olympiacos Piraeus 59.7%, draw 22.8%, win NEC Nijmegen 17.5%. Model favourite — Olympiacos Piraeus.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Olimpiakos 🇬🇷: probability 60% vs 65% on the line (odds 1.53)
- • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Olympiacos Piraeus - NEC Nijmegen August 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.55 / X 4.15 / 2 5.70
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
UEFA Champions LeagueHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
AI consensus:1
| AI | 1 | X | 2 | Score | Total goals | BTTS | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google AI | 54% | 29% | 17% | 1:0 | Under 2.5 | No | 1X + Under 2.5 |
| Claude | 58% | 25% | 17% | 1:0 | Under 3.5 | No | Under 3.5 golov |
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Olympiacos Piraeus - NEC Nijmegen
football, Olimpiakos - NEK Neymegen, 4 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Olimpiakos - NEK Neymegen, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Champions League UEFA 2026/2027, 3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match.
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.00 50.0% | 1.96 51.0% |
| yes | 1.75 57.1% | 1.78 56.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.20 83.3% |
| 1x | 1.14 87.7% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.12 89.3% |
| x2 | 2.40 41.7% | 2.36 42.4% | 2.35 42.6% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.02 49.5% | |
| X | 2.44 41.0% |
| 5.70 17.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.61 62.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.32 43.1% |
| Under 1 | 2.24 44.6% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.56 64.1% |
Olympiacos Piraeus
NEC Nijmegen
Full head-to-head historyOlympiacos Piraeus - NEC Nijmegen
Match history
Olimpiakos NEK Neymegen 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Khose Luis Mendilibar Glavnye trenery Dik Skhreder Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 69% 21% 10% Double chance 45% 39% 16% Materialy po prognozam Sumasshedshaya stavka 20 rubley uvelichilas v 11 000 raz. Spasibo sudyam! «Arsenal» — «Olimpiakos». Prognoz: greki raskroyutsya and poluchat polnuyu avosku «Olimpiakos» — «Arsenal». Prognoz: v Gretsii vspomnyat vremena Arshavina «Tottenkhem» — «Olimpiakos». Prognoz: Valbuena ne dast Mourinyu sygrat na nol «Bavariya» — «Olimpiakos». Prognoz: Levandovski and Koutino otmetyat ukhod Kovacha «Olimpiakos» — «Bavariya». Prognoz: Levandovski ne stanet brat vykhodnoy «Olimpiakos» — Tottenkhem». Prognoz: obidchik «Krasnodara» nasolit Pochettino «Krasnodar» — «Olimpiakos». Prognoz: «byki» poprobuyut sotvorit chudo «Olimpiakos» — «Krasnodar». Prognoz: «byki» propustyat posle pereryva «Viktoriya» — «Olimpiakos», PSV — «Bazel». Prognozy
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form