Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
Shemrok Rovers ๐ฎ๐ช - Ararat-Armenia ๐ฆ๐ฒ
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Shemrok Rovers ๐ฎ๐ช โ 54%
Pure model vs market (1 ยท Shemrok Rovers ๐ฎ๐ช): model 37% ยท market 57% ฮ โ20 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Shemrok Rovers ๐ฎ๐ช 54.3%, draw 23.9%, win Ararat-Armenia ๐ฆ๐ฒ 21.7%. Model favourite โ Shemrok Rovers ๐ฎ๐ช.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Shemrok Rovers ๐ฎ๐ช: probability 50% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.82)
- • no edge over the line (-5 pp) โ informational only
- • Expected score 1:0
- • Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
- • at line 2.5 (odds 2.00).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Shemrok Rovers ๐ฎ๐ช - Ararat-Armenia ๐ฆ๐ฒ July 28, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.65 / X 3.85 / 2 5.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.โ odds shortened (money on this outcome), โ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction โข nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference โ not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Shemrok Rovers ๐ฎ๐ช - Ararat-Armenia ๐ฆ๐ฒ
Football, Shemrok Rovers - Ararat-Armenia, 28 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Shemrok Rovers - Ararat-Armenia, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Champions League UEFA 2026/2027, 2 qualifying round. 2 match.
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.95 51.3% | 2.05 48.8% |
| yes | 1.80 55.6% | 1.72 58.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.24 80.7% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.25 80.0% |
| 1x | 1.19 84.0% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.15 87.0% |
| x2 | 2.06 48.5% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.17 46.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.22 45.1% | |
| X | 2.36 42.4% |
| 4.89 20.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.61 62.1% |
| Under 1 | 2.22 45.1% |
Ararat-Armenia ๐ฆ๐ฒ
Ararat-Armenia ๐ฆ๐ฒ
FK Riga ๐ฑ๐ป
FK Riga ๐ฑ๐ป
Full head-to-head historyShemrok Rovers ๐ฎ๐ช - Ararat-Armenia ๐ฆ๐ฒ
Overall statistics
Match history
Ararat-Armenia ๐ฆ๐ฒ
Shemrok Rovers Ararat-Armenia 3 Games 3 1 Wins 2 0 Draws 0 2 Losses 1 5 Scored 6 5 Conceded 3 Points 6 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 10 Shots on goal 12 6.33 Udary v stvor 4 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 7 Uglovye 3.67 3.33 Offsaydy 0.33 10.33 Foly 10 55.33 % vladeniya myachom 47.33 2.33 Warnings 2 0.33 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Stiven Bredli Glavnye trenery Tulipa Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 37% 26% 37% Double chance 32% 36% 32% Materialy po prognozam Dundalk โ Shamrock Rovers. Goalfest in Orie League of Ireland Premier Division: tips for week 25 CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1317662' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
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