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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
03.08.2026 18:00 UTC
03.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Not started

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

Sparta Prague - Lyon

Football
Sparta Prague
Sparta Prague
- : -
Not started
Lyon
Lyon

Sparta Prague go head-to-head with Lyon on August 3, 2026 in the UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg.

Recent form (W-D-L): Sparta Prague 2-0-3, Lyon 3-0-2. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Lyon β€” 44%

Pure model vs market (2 Β· Lyon): model 44% Β· market 45% Ξ” βˆ’1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 Β· Sparta Prague29.6%
X Β· draw25.9%
2 Β· Lyon44.5%

Model estimate: win Sparta Prague 29.6%, draw 25.9%, win Lyon 44.5%. Model favourite β€” Lyon.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Lyon (odds2.08) Score 0:1 Under 2.5 (odds2.00) Handicap H2 +-0 (odds1.55) confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Lion πŸ‡«πŸ‡·: probability 50% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.08)
  • • edge over the line +2 pp β€” value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1
  • • Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • • at line 2.5 (odds 2.00)
  • • Handicap F2 +0: score forecast 0:1 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.55).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sparta Prague - Lyon August 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.15 / X 3.55 / 2 2.08

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 29.4%
X 26.1%
2 44.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 3.15 β†’ 3.15
1X2 X 3.55 β†’ 3.55
1X2 P2 2.08 β†’ 2.08

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction β€’ nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Sparta Prague 4 : 1 Lyon
11.18
X6.75
212.70

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference β€” not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 29.4% @ 3.15 / X 26.1% @ 3.55 / 2 44.5% @ 2.08
Match center

Sparta Prague - Lyon

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sparta Prague 29.3% 29.6%
Draw 26.2% 25.9% draw risk
Lyon 44.5% 44.5% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 29.6% / 25.9% / 44.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,452 / 1,646 Sparta Praga πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ / Lion πŸ‡«πŸ‡·
RD 211 / 187 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,031-1,874 / 1,272-2,020 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.08 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 44.5%
X 3.55 Fonbet Β· draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.15 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 29.6%
Double chance
12 1.25 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 74.1%
1X 1.67 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 55.5%
X2 1.30 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 70.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.09 market consensus Β· line only
2 -1 1.12 Fonbet Β· line only
2 +1 2.90 Fonbet Β· line only
2 0 1.55 Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.72 Fonbet Β· line only
Under 2.5 2.00 Fonbet Β· line only
Both teams to score
No 2.15 Fonbet Β· line only
Yes 1.62 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.15 46.5% 2.19 45.7%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.63 61.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.24 80.7% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0%
1x 1.62 61.7% 1.69 59.2% 1.67 59.9%
x2 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.63 27.6%
X 2.36 42.4%
2.63 38.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.64 61.0%
Under 1 2.17 46.1%
Match center
Sparta Prague
W L L L W
2026-07-31 1. Liga 26/27
Sparta Prague Sparta Prague 3:1 Fastav Zlin
2026-07-25 1. Liga 26/27
Sparta Prague Zbrojovka Brno 3:1 Sparta Prague
2026-07-17 Club Friendly Games 2026
Sparta Prague Nordsjaelland 5:1 Sparta Prague
2026-07-16 Club Friendly Games 2026
Sparta Prague Jagiellonia Bialystok 1:0 Sparta Prague
2026-07-11 Club Friendly Games 2026
Sparta Prague Gamba Osaka 0:3 Sparta Prague
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points
Lyon
L W L W W
2026-07-29 Club Friendly Games 2026
Betis 4:0 Lyon Lyon
2026-07-24 Club Friendly Games 2026
Wolfsburg 0:2 Lyon Lyon
2026-07-18 Club Friendly Games 2026
Lyon 0:2 Slavia Prague Lyon
2026-07-15 Club Friendly Games 2026
Lyon 2:1 Servette Lyon
2026-07-11 Club Friendly Games 2026
Lyon 6:3 Sankt Gallen Lyon
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySparta Prague - Lyon

Sparta Prague
0 matches total
Lyon
Biggest win β€” largest score margin
Highest-scoring match β€” most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw β€” draw with the most goals

Match history